In this article, we will formulate a Mets vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 15th at Citi Field in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 45-26 this year after they lost the first two games in this series by scores of 5-7 and 4-8. In their game two loss, New York led 2-1 in the third inning, but they allowed the next six runs in the game for the loss. The Mets recorded 11 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Nimmo, who went 3-4 with two RBIs in the loss. New York started Megill, who allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 3.2 innings for the loss, while Castillo allowed one earned run in relief.
Prior to this series, the Mets swept the Nationals in three games and swept the Rockies in three games. New York has won six of their last eight games, and they are currently first in the NL East standings. The New York pitching staff has a 2.88 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 328 runs with a .249 batting average and a .332 on-base percentage this season. Pete Alonso has led New York with 17 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Francisco Lindor has added 14 home runs and 38 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Griffin Canning, who is 6-2 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 64.1 innings pitched this year.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 38-32 this season after they won game two by a score of 8-4 on Saturday afternoon. Tampa Bay was able to score six runs across the fourth and fifth innings, while also adding an insurance run in the sixth to seal the win. The Rays recorded 12 hits in the game, and they were led by Diaz and Walls, who both had two RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Rasmussen, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Cleavinger picked up a hold.
Prior to this series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Red Sox, but did win two out of three against the Marlins before that. Tampa Bay has won four of its last six games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 316 runs with a .248 batting average and a .314 on-base percentage this season. Junior Caminero has led Tampa Bay with 16 home runs and 42 RBIs, while Brandon Lowe has added 13 home runs and 37 RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 5-3 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 70.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Mets will beat the Rays
- The Rays have lost seven of their last eight games following a road win.
- The Mets have won each of their last six Sunday home games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Rays will beat the Mets
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 Sunday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 15 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line each of their last eight road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last four games as favorites against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 17 of the Mets’ last 19 day games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight games at Citi Field.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Brett Baty has hit at least one home run in five of his last eight home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded at least one RBI in six of his last seven home appearances against AL East opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Griffin Canning has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL opponents.
- Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as favorites.
- Pete Alonso ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.579) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Danny Jansen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL East opponents.
- Taylor Walls has recorded at least one Double in three of the Rays’ last four day games.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rays’ last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Lowe has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with the Rays as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Jonathan Aranda ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.407) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (2.88).
- The Mets rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (51).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for steals this season (97).
- The Rays rank T1st in the league for walks allowed this season (186).
Mets vs Rays Prediction
Tampa Bay was able to stay hot with another win on Saturday afternoon, and they are battling with Toronto for second in the AL East. The Rays are 15-12 on the road this year, while the Mets are 27-9 at home. New York has struggled with their pitching in this series, and they are starting Canning, who has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts. The Rays are starting Baz, who has allowed exactly three earned runs in three straight starts. I don’t love how each of these pitchers has looked in recent starts, and I think we will see some scoring, so give me the over here.