In this article we will formulate a Mets vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 24th at Citi Field in Queens, New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 9-16 this year after they won two out of three against the Twins by scores of 3-5, 3-2, and 10-8. In game three, New York led 6-1 in the second inning, but they needed three runs in the eighth to secure the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bichette, who went 3-5 with three RBIs. Scott opened the game, while Brazoban blew the save and Williams got the win. Prior to that series, New York lost all three against the Cubs and all three against the Dodgers.
This season, New York has a 4.13 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 88 runs with a .227 batting average and a .291 on base percentage. Bo Bichette has led the Mets with one home run and 12 RBIs, while Brett Baty has added one home run and 10 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 1-2 with a 4.05 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 26.2 innings pitched this year.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 10-16 this season after they lost two out of three against the Padres by scores of 0-1, 8-3, and 8-10. In game three, Colorado led 5-2 in the second inning and 8-4 in the eighth, but they blew the lead for the tough loss. The Rockies recorded 14 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Johnston, Rumfield, and Moniak, who all had two RBIs. Feltner allowed two hits and two earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Vodnik blew the save and picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Colorado split four games with the Dodgers and lost two out of three against the Astros.
This season, Colorado has a 4.40 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while they have scored 108 runs with a .251 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Mickey Moniak has led the Rockies with eight home runs and 15 RBIs, while TJ Rumfield has added three home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Michael Lorenzen, who is 1-2 with a 7.48 ERA and a 2.12 WHIP over 21.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 12 road games against National League opponents.
- The Mets have won each of their last eight games against the Rockies.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against the Rockies.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five Friday games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight games against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have won six of the Mets’ last eight games at Citi Field.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 10 games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Rockies’ last nine night games.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Michael Lorenzen has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Tyler Freeman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Kris Bryant has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Citi Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- Mickey Moniak ranks T5th in the league in Home Runs (8) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.291).
- The Mets rank T28th in the league for runs scored this season (88).
- The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (239).
- The Rockies rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.266).
Mets vs Rockies Prediction
New York comes into this matchup after picking up a huge series win against Minnesota, as they try to get their season back on track. The Mets are 5-7 at home this year, while the Rockies are 3-10 on the road. Colorado has lost three of their last four games and they have allowed 10+ runs in two of those four. The Rockies are starting Lorenzen, who has allowed five earned runs and 14 hits in his last 7.2 innings, while Peralta has allowed 3, 1, 3, 1, and 4 earned runs in his five starts. I think we are going to see some offense in this game, so I like the over here.