Mets vs. Rays Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/16/23

Chris RuffoloMay 16, 2023
Mets vs. Rays Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/16/23 player photo
Credit: USA Today Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays and the New York Mets meet in interleague action in an MLB matchup from Citi Field on Tuesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.


New York is listed as a -165 home favorite while Tampa Bay is a +140 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Jalen Beeks will start for the Rays and is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. Justin Verlander will start for the Mets and is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Tampa Bay’s 7-1 win back on May 16th, 2021, made it four straight wins for the Rays in this head-to-head matchup over the Mets.


Tampa Bay is 31-11 in their last 42 games overall and 21-8 in their last 29 series-opening games while the over is 12-4-2 in their last 18 games against a team with a losing record. New York is 45-22 in their last 67 interleague games and 6-15 in their last 21 games overall while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 home games against a team with a left-handed starter.


I’m backing the Mets here. Justin Verlander’s been solid in interleague play over the course of his career, and after settling for a split against Washington, the Mets need this series badly for some confidence and may be catching the Rays at the right time. The bullpen’s been shaky and a bullpen game looks to be on the horizon here. Give me the Mets.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick:New York Mets -165
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Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg