The Baltimore Orioles and the Miami Marlins meet Thursday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles prediction. This will be the final installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
Baltimore played the Texas Rangers last weekend. The O’s won the first two games before a Sunday loss 3-2. After a 6-3 loss to Miami on Tuesday, in game two Baltimore posted a 6-3 loss to fall behind further.
In the starter slot for the finale the Orioles will send out Corbin Burnes. This year Burnes is 10-4 with a 2.38 ERA in 20 starts. Burnes is 55-31 with a 3.13 ERA in 187 career games (126 starts).
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Over on the Marlins’ side, they took on the New York Mets in their last set. Miami won 6-4 Friday and 4-2 Sunday to split the four-game series. On Wednesday the Marlins out-hit Baltimore 9-4.
It’ll be Roddery Munoz in the starter role for the Marlins on Thursday. This year Munoz is 1-5 with a 5.14 ERA in the first 11 games (10 starts) of his career.
Marlins vs Orioles Pick Injury Notes
Orioles SP Albert Suarez was diagnosed with a right shin contusion after getting hit with a comebacker in Tuesday’s game. X-rays on 2B Jorge Mateo’s left arm came back negative.
Marlins SP Sandy Alcantara was scheduled to throw a bullpen session Wednesday.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last six games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five day games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last three day games against National League opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last six home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Marlins’ last six games against AL East opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Josh Bell has scored a run in five of his six previous home appearances against the Orioles after playing the previous day.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Orioles.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Anthony Santander has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four day games.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one total base in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games.
- Anthony Santander has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles’ last five games against NL East opponents.
- Corbin Burnes has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Anthony Santander has recorded a Single in each of the Orioles’ last six games as road favorites.
- Anthony Santander has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles’ last 10 games.
- Corbin Burnes has recorded six or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents.
Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction
I’ll stay with the Orioles here, but I can see taking Miami on a value play due to that thick line. Burnes has been on a solid run lately. In his last three starts combined, Burnes is 1-1 with six earned runs on 15 hits and five walks in 18.0 innings of work total. As for Munoz, he’s coming off 5.0 innings and one earned in a loss to the Mets.
On Wednesday the O’s posted another ugly offensive effort with just four team hits. Regardless, I’m staying away from this one due to that hefty line.