In this article we will formulate a Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 3rd at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Marlins Looking for More Home Success
The Miami Marlins are 30-55 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Miami lost the first game in this series on Tuesday night and they allowed eight runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Marlins split four games with the Phillies, lost two out of three against the Royals, and won two out of three against the Mariners. Miami is 4-2 in their last six home games.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.56 ERA, a 1.36 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 296 runs with a .231 batting average and a .279 on base percentage. Josh Bell is batting .239 with eight home runs and 35 RBI’s for the Marlins this season. Miami has scored three runs or fewer in six of their last eight games.
Red Sox Offense Remains Hot
The Boston Red Sox are 45-39 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. Boston won the first game in this series by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday night. Prior to this series, the Red Sox lost two out of three against the Padres, split two games with the Blue Jays, and won two out of three against the Reds. Boston is 10-4 in their last 14 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 3.62 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 389 runs with a .254 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Rafael Devers is batting .288 with 18 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Red Sox this year. Boston has scored at least seven runs in three of their last seven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 7-5 with a 5.55 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 71.1 innings pitched this year. Bello has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Trevor Rogers, who is 1-8 with a 4.87 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 81.1 innings pitched this season. Rogers has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.
Why the Marlins will beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in 12 of the Red Sox’s last 14 games.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Red Sox’s last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Marlins’ last six home games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six home games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last two games as home underdogs.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded an RBI in four of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has scored a run in four of his last five home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded a Single in each of his last four home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jazz Chisholm has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four night games.
- Dominic Smith has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against the Marlins.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has scored at least one run in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 11 appearances in night games.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Miami has been one of the worst teams in the MLB so far this season and they are just 16-28 at home, but they are 4-2 in their last six home games. The Marlins have been really bad with their hitting and pitching this season, but they will start Trevor Rogers, who has been very good in recent outings. The Red Sox are playing much better than people thought they would this year and they are 25-16 on the road, but Bello has been awful over the last few weeks. I really don’t like what I have seen from Bello and I think the Marlins can get the job done here. My Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox prediction is for the Marlins to win.