The Detroit Tigers and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will send out Charlie Morton here and Morton is 9-10 with a 5.59 ERA and 142 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Marlins, Morton is 2-2 with a 5.14 ERA and 27 strikeouts. Janson Junk will get the start for the Marlins here and is 6-3 with a 4.48 ERA and 64 strikeouts this season. This will be Junk’s first career start against the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-2 loss at the hands of the Marlins in Friday’s series opener to sit at 84-64 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.
Tigers Drop Back-To-Back Games
Spencer Torkelson has 120 hits along with a .234 batting average including 28 home runs, 26 doubles and 72 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 24 home runs and 59 RBIs while Riley Greene has 148 hits with 31 doubles, 34 home runs and 108 RBIs but also has a team-high 184 strikeouts as well this season. Dillon Dingler has 13 home runs and 55 RBIs and Zack McKinstry’s added 21 doubles, 11 triples, 11 home runs and 48 RBIs of his own along with 111 hits as well this season. Javier Baez has added 100 hits and 17 doubles as well as 11 home runs and 52 RBIs this season. Colt Keith also has 101 hits with 21 doubles, 13 home runs and 44 RBIs.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last four day games following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost three of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Rogers has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Tigers as favorites against NL opponents.
- Charlie Morton has recorded six or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 20 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Riley Greene ranks 9th in the league in Home Runs (34) this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their win to start the series against the Detroit Tigers last time out to sit at 69-79 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Colorado Rockies.
Marlins Win Three In A Row
Xavier Edwards has 148 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 109 hits with 27 doubles. Otto Lopez has 120 hits with 18 doubles and 14 home runs with 72 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 20 home runs, 28 doubles and 63 RBIs on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Tigers have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Tigers.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 15 of their last 16 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Tigers.
- Joey Wiemer has recorded a hit in seven of his last eight home appearances.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Detroit Tigers vs. Miami Marlins Prediction
I’m on the over in this one. I just don’t trust either side in this game, from a starting pitching perspective, as Morton’s been hit by the Marlins in his career, who have been better against righties this season, and Junk has been regressing since a hot start to the year. All in all, I think we’ve got a high-scoring game here, so give me the over.