The Philadelphia Phillies and the Miami Marlins meet Saturday in MLB action from LoanDepot Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Marlins vs Phillies Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Philadelphia Phillies will start Jesus Luzardo here and Luzardo is 12-6 with a 4.05 ERA and 182 strikeouts this season. In his career, Luzardo is 0-1 with a 3.75 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Miami. The Miami Marlins will start Sandy Alcantara here and Alcantara is 8-11 with a 5.66 ERA and 119 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the the Phillies, Alcantara is 0-3 with a 6.31 ERA and 20 strikeouts.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on their 9-3 win over the Marlins on Friday to sit at 82-59 this season. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the New York Mets.
Phillies Win 6 Of Their Last 8
Nick Castellanos has 126 hits with 25 doubles including 16 home runs and 61 RBIs while Kyle Schwarber has 128 hits with a team-high 49 home runs and 119 RBIs but also has a team-high 168 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 11 stolen bases, 29 doubles, 23 home runs and 65 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 178 hits with 7 triples, 14 home runs, 68 RBIs and a team-high 36 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 18 doubles and Bryson Stott has 19 doubles, 3 triples, 10 homers and 59 RBIs while Stott also has 23 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last five day games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The road team has covered the run line in six of the Phillies’ last seven games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances at LoanDepot Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Bryson Stott has recorded a Double in three of the Phillies’ last four day games.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Trea Turner ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (178) this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to rebound from a 9-3 loss at the hands of the Philadelphia Phillies last time out to sit at 65-76 this season. After this series, the Marlins will take on the Washington Nationals in a series at home.
Marlins Drop 4th In A Row
Xavier Edwards has 142 hits including 20 doubles and a team-high 24 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 101 hits with 24 doubles. Otto Lopez has 113 hits with 18 doubles and 12 home runs with 66 RBIs. Kyle Stowers has 115 hits with 21 doubles, 3 triples, 25 home runs and 73 RBIs but also has 125 strikeouts so far this season. Agustin Ramirez also has 19 home runs, 28 doubles and 60 RBIs on the year.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Phillies have lost six of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 day games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against teams that held a winning record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Stowers has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Marlins’ last 12 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as road favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction
I’m on the Phillies in this one. I get the case to be made for the Marlins as a home dog, as Sandy Alcantara has pitched much better at home this season. However, the Marlins are just not in good form right now, and the Phillies are just in a much better position with Luzardo pitching well and the Marlins continuously having issues against left-handed pitching. Give me the Phillies here.