The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Arizona Diamondbacks will send out Brandon Pfaadt for the start here and Pfaadt is 12-8 with a 4.95 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pfaadt is 1-1 with a 9.35 ERA and 12 strikeouts against Milwaukee. Jacob Misiorowski will get the start for the Brewers and is 4-2 with a 4.19 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. This will be Misiorowski’s first career start against the Brewers.
Arizona Diamondbacks Recap
The Arizona Diamondbacks come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-5 loss at the hands of the Brewers on Monday to sit at 64-68 this season. After this series, the Diamondbacks will take to the road for a division series against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Diamondbacks Drop Back-To-Back Games
Corbin Carroll has 113 hits with 27 home runs, 65 RBIs, 16 triples and 22 doubles this season. Carroll also has 17 stolen bases and Geraldo Perdomo has a team-high 22 stolen bases as well as 13 home runs and 81 RBIs with a team-high 134 hits this season. Ketel Marte’s added 23 home runs and 56 RBIs as well on the year and Lourdes Gurriel has 115 hits with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 71 RBIs.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit at least one home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Brandon Pfaadt has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Brandon Pfaadt has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 12 games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Corbin Carroll ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.553) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Diamondbacks to sit at 82-50 on the year. After this set, the Brewers will square off in an interleague series on the road against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Brewers Looking To Build Steam
Brice Turang has 134 hits with 14 home runs, 64 RBIs and 22 stolen bases while Jackson Chourio has 123 hits with a team-high 29 doubles, 18 stolen bases, 17 home runs and 67 RBIs and Sal Frelick has 127 hits as well as 3 triples, 9 home runs, 50 RBIs and 18 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 15 stolen bases with 26 homers and 88 RBIs while also adding 15 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 143 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 14 homers and 63 RBIs as well this season. Joey Ortiz has chipped in 93 hits with 17 doubles, 7 home runs and 43 RBIs and Caleb Durbin also has 20 doubles with 8 homers and 44 RBIs.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 17 of their last 18 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have lost nine of their last 10 road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games following a home win.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games.
- Jackson Chourio has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Twelve of the Brewers’ last 16 home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
Brewers vs Diamondbacks Prediction
I’m siding with the over in this one. I haven’t loved what I’ve seen from Misiorowski in a lot of his recent starts as of late, and the Diamondbacks, despite all the moves this team made at the deadline, have found a way to remain competitive. On the other side, the Brewers’ bats just keep finding a way, and they should be able to get a few runs off of Pfaadt, who hasn’t been overly stout on the road. Give me the over.