The Arizona Diamondbacks and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Thursday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks prediction. This will be the first installment in a four-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Diamondbacks pick.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Diamondbacks are fresh off a series versus the Colorado Rockies. Arizona lost the first two games of that set 3-2 and 8-2. On Wednesday the Diamondbacks were up 6-0 by the end of the second inning and rolled to a 9-4 win.
In the starter slot for Arizona on Thursday it’ll be Brandon Pfaadt. This year Pfaadt is 9-9 with a 4.81 ERA in 29 starts. Pfaadt is 12-18 with a 5.18 ERA in 48 career games (47 starts). The Diamondbacks will meet the Giants after this series.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they played the Philadelphia Phillies in their last series. Milwaukee split the first two games 6-2 (win) and 5-1 (loss). In the Wednesday rubber match the Brewers would power out a tight 2-1 win. Starter Freddy Peralta lasted 5.0 innings with one earned run.
As the starting pitcher for Thursday’s opener, the Brewers are going with Tobias Myers. So far Myers is 8-5 with a 3.07 ERA over the first 24 games (23 starts) of his MLB career.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Diamondbacks’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has hit a home run in four of the Brewers’ last five home games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Brewers’ last six games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
- Willy Adames has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL West opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last four home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (45) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one Double in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Pfaadt has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Gabriel Moreno has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Randal Grichuk has hit at least one home run in six of his last eight appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
- Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Diamondbacks as favorites.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Ketel Marte ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.547) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (571).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (197).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (835).
- The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (796).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Brewers. Myers had some rough spots in his last outing versus the Diamondbacks on September 14 (6.0 innings; four earned) but he still got the win. In the two starts prior to that Myers went 1-0 with three earned over 11.2 combined innings. As for Pfaadt, he’s given up 12 earned runs in 6.1 innings over his last two outings.
On Wednesday the Brewers only had five team hits but got a nice overall pitching performance. Milwaukee used four arms out of the bullpen though, so Myers needs to notch a good start here.