Milwaukee Brewers vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 10-4-23 MLB Picks
Milwaukee Brewers (92-70) vs Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78)
2023-10-04 19:08:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -125 / Arizona Diamondbacks +115 --- Over/Under: 7.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Milwaukee Brewers clash Wednesday in game 2 of the AL Wild Card playoffs at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Diamondbacks can advance to the NLDS to face the Dodgers with a victory here. The Diamondbacks came back to steal game 1 as they trailed 0-3 after two innings and responded by scoring 6 unanswered runs. The Diamondbacks hit 3 homers and produced 7 walks, simply moving the line and putting together quality at bats. The Diamondbacks are now 13-3 in their last 16 games when scoring more than 1 run. Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks with 3 hits and 2 RBI, while Corbin Carroll and Evan Longoria have combined for 3 hits and 2 RBI. Zac Gallen gets the ball, and he was 17-9 with a 3.47 ERA and 220 strikeouts this season. This will be Gallen’s first time pitching in the postseason.
Arizona Diamondbacks Team Facts
The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
The Diamondbacks have covered the run line each of their last 11 Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four playoff games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games against National League opponents.
The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers need a victory here to force a deciding game 3 on Thursday. The Brewers just weren’t able to respond after blowing their early lead, and the offense finished with 11 strikeouts and 3-11 with runners in scoring position. The D’Backs had 6 runs on 9 hits, while the Brewers had 3 runs on 12 hits. A blown opportunity for the home team. The Brewers have lost 5 straight games when allowing more than 3 runs. Offensively, Willy Adames leads the Brewers with 3 hits, while William Contreras and Josh Donaldson have combined for 4 hits. Freddy Peralta gets the ball, and he was 12-10 with a 3.86 ERA and 210 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 0-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 12 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
The Brewers have won each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a home loss.
The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Wednesday games against NL West opponents.
The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four playoff games as favorites.
The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four playoff games as favorites.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three games.
Matchup/League Facts
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.71).
The Milwaukee Brewers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.226).
The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (44).
The Arizona Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (166).
Randy’s Pick
The Brewers are getting the benefit of the doubt because they’re at home and oddsmakers and bettors refuse to believe they’re going to go out like this. However, the Diamondbacks have been a feisty team all season, and Zac Gallen and plus money isn’t what I’m willing to turn down. Gallen was in the CY Young convo all season long with a 3.47 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Gallen has allowed 2 runs in his last 12.1 innings, with 15 strikeouts. Freddy Peralta is great, and he has playoff experience unlike Gallen, but I’m not turning down plus money with one of the best pitchers in the NL. Give me the Diamondbacks and the more favorable price.