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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 6-14-24 Picks

Cincinnati Reds (33-35) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (40-28)
June 14, 2024 8:10 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -139 / Cincinnati Reds +118; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB game 1 action at American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction.

Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 33-35 on the year after wins over the Cubs and Guardians. The Cincinnati Reds have scored 9 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Cincinnati Reds have won 7 straight games when scoring 4 or more runs. Spencer Steer leads the Cincinnati Reds with 57 hits and 41 RBI while Elly De La Cruz and Jeimer Candelario have combined for 112 hits and 60 RBI.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 40-28 on the year after wins over the Tigers and Blue Jays. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 8 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 6 of their last 9 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have lost 5 of their last 6 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. William Contreras leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 83 hits and 47 RBI, while Brice Turang and Willy Adames have combined for 129 hits and 71 RBI.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers Pitching Matchup

Hunter Greene gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 4-2 with a 3.61 ERA and 84 strikeouts this season. Greene has allowed 8 hits and 9 runs in his last 12.2 innings. Greene has a 2.97 ERA and .163 allowed batting average in 30.1 road innings. Greene is 0-4 with a 8.25 ERA and 36 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.

Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 4-3 with a 3.95 ERA and 92 strikeouts this season. Peralta has allowed 8 hits and 6 earned runs in his last 8.1 innings. Peralta has a 3.90 ERA and .200 allowed batting average in 27.2 home innings. Peralta is 5-2 with a 2.88 ERA and 102 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Reds have lost each of their last seven games against the Brewers following a win.
  • The Brewers have won each of their last nine Friday games against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five home games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • Willy Adames has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as favorites.
  • William Contreras has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against the Reds after not playing the previous day.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games against the Reds.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last five games against the Reds.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with the Brewers as home favorites against NL opponents.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has scored a run in each of his last nine home appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 16 home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (24) this season.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Steer has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jake Fraley has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Reds’ last four night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • Hunter Greene has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games.
  • Jake Fraley has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one Single in each of the Reds’ last seven road games.
  • Hunter Greene has recorded eight or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with the Reds as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last eight night games.
  • Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last eight night games.
  • Elly De La Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (34) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for steals this season (95).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (497).
  • The Cincinnati Reds rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (98).

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Hunter Greene shows flashes of brilliance at times, but he also has issues with his control and when he’s hit, he’s hit hard. Greene has also been rocked by the Brewers in his short career. Freddy Peralta has had his ups and downs this season as well, but his larger sample size is easier to trust, and he’s owned the Reds for much of his career. At home and more consistent as a team overall, you can do a lot worse than the Brewers and the cheap price.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -139

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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