The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Thursday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will send out Chase Burns here and Burns is 9-1 with a 2.36 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Jacob Misiorowski will start for the Brewers and is 9-3 with a 1.45 ERA and 146 strikeouts this season.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to shake off their 4-2 loss at the hands of the Brewers on Wednesday to sit at 39-46 this season. After this series, the Reds will head home for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Reds Lose 4 In A Row
Elly De La Cruz has 72 hits with 14 doubles, 2 triples, 13 home runs and 40 RBIs while Sal Stewart has 83 hits with 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 59 RBIs. Spencer Steer has 67 hits with 12 doubles, 13 home runs and 34 RBIs and Matt McLain has 51 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs. JJ Bleday’s added 48 hits with 11 doubles, 13 home runs and 37 RBIs as well on the year.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their win over Cincinnati from Wednesday to sit at 53-31 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a set against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Brewers Win 8 Of Last 10
William Contreras has 91 hits with 12 doubles, 9 home runs and 51 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 80 hits with 17 doubles, 3 triples, 12 homers and 48 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 68 hits with 12 doubles, 15 home runs and 51 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 61 hits with 3 home runs and 31 RBIs this season. Luis Rengifo’s added 38 hits with 9 doubles and 19 RBIs and Garrett Mitchell has 60 hits with 16 doubles and 39 RBIs this season.
Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 9-3 ERA: 1.45
- Home Record: 5-0
- Last 5 against Reds: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last 11 games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Reds’ last five games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Chase Burns Record this season: 9-1 ERA: 2.36
- Road Record: 4-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won each of their last three day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four day games against the Reds following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have covered the run line each of their last four day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last five day games between the Reds and Brewers.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of the Reds’ last seven road games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jackson Chourio has hit at least one home run in five of the Brewers’ last 10 home games against NL opponents.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded a win in six of his last seven appearances.
- Jacob Misiorowski has recorded 10+ strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (146) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Tyler Stephenson has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 road appearances against NL opponents.
- Matt Mclain has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last two day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns ranks T4th in the league for Wins (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (80).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (606).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (648).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m on the Brewers here. Misiorowski’s been dominant this season, especially at home and the bats behind the two starters have been a lot more consistent for Milwaukee than they have been Cincinnati. Chase Burns is a decent option but Milwaukee’s been a lot more consistent against right-handed pitching and I look for the Brew Crew to walk out with the win here. Give me Milwaukee.