In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 11th at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 67-49 this year and they have won five games in a row. Milwaukee has won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-3 and 1-0. Prior to this series, the Brewers swept the Braves in three games, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and lost two out of three against the Braves. Milwaukee is 6-4 in their last 10 games and they continue to lead the NL Central.
The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 567 runs with a .257 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .251 with 21 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 56-61 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Cincinnati has lost the first two games in this series and they were shutout on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Reds won three out of four against the Marlins, lost two out of three against the Giants, and won two out of three against the Cubs. Cincinnati is 4-6 in their last 10 games and they are last in the NL Central.
The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 520 runs with a .230 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Elly De La Cruz is batting .264 with 20 home runs and 50 RBI’s for the Reds this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is DL Hall, who is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and a 2.27 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this season. Hall has allowed nine earned runs in his last 7.0 innings of work, but has not pitched since April due to injury. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Nick Lodolo, who is 9-4 with a 3.93 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 103.0 innings pitched this year. Lodolo has allowed two earned runs in three of his last five starts.
Why the Brewers will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last nine Sunday games.
- The Brewers have won each of their last five games.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Sunday games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five games.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home day games.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last four day games at American Family Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Reds’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last eight day games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last four day games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 14 appearances against NL opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in 10 of his last 11 home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Nick Lodolo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances against NL opponents.
- Nick Lodolo has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one hit in 13 of his last 14 appearances.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one total base in 13 of his last 14 appearances.
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Tyler Stephenson has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances after playing the previous day.
- Santiago Espinal has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in day games.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this game looking to complete the sweep and pick up their sixth win in a row, and they are 33-21 at home this year. Cincinnati is 28-30 on the road, but they do have a very solid team ERA. The Reds will start Nick Lodolo, who has alternated good and bad starts over his last six outings. The Brewers are expected to go with DL Hall, who has been out with an injury, but was pretty bad early in the season. I think we could see a higher scoring game in this matchup, but I am going to stick with the hot team. My Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction is for the Brewers to win.