The Cincinnati Reds and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Friday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Reds pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Reds played the Miami Marlins in their last series. Cincinnati won the first two installments of that set 10-3 and 8-2 before a 6-4 loss in game three. In the finale on Thursday, the Reds managed a 10-4 victory with a whopping seven runs in the 10th inning.
For the starter gig on Friday the Reds will send out Carson Spiers. This year Spiers is 4-3 with a 3.59 ERA in 12 games (seven starts). Spiers is 4-4 with a 4.20 ERA in 16 career games (nine starts).
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they just finished up against the Atlanta Braves. Milwaukee won the first two games 10-0 and 8-5. In the finale the Brewers rolled to a blowout win 16-7. Starter Frankie Montas gave up three earned in 4.0 innings of work.
As starting pitcher for the opener the Brewers are sending out Aaron Civale. This year Civale is 2-8 with a 5.14 ERA in 22 starts. Civale is 33-34 with a 4.15 career ERA in 108 starts.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last three games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances.
- Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 appearances against NL opponents.
- Aaron Civale has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his five previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded a Double in each of the Brewers’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
- Jackson Chourio has scored at least one run in each of his last nine home appearances after playing the previous day.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Santiago Espinal has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Elly De La Cruz has scored at least one run in each of the Reds’ last six games against the Brewers.
- Jeimer Candelario has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one Double in each of the Reds’ last four road games against NL Central opponents.
- TJ Friedl has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last two games against NL opponents.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Jonathan India has recorded at least one total base in each of the Reds’ last seven games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction
I’ll probably try the Reds here. Spiers hasn’t been too bad over his last three starts, going 2-1 in that time. Over that trio Spiers has a combined 15.2 innings with six earned runs on 12 hits and two walks. A quality start here would go a long way.
On Thursday the Reds had a wild final inning on the way to 11 team hits. TJ Friedl posted two runs, three RBI and a homer while the bullpen held strong on 4.0 innings and no earned runs. Cincinnati would probably like a less dramatic win this time, and I think they’ve got a decent shot at it.