The Miami Marlins and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Max Meyer for the start here and Meyer is 9-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Shane Drohan will start for the Brewers and is 4-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to shake off a 2-1 loss at the hands of the Brewers on Friday to sit at 52-46 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.
Marlins Drop 4th In A Row
Going into Friday, Xavier Edwards has 107 hits with 13 doubles, 6 triples, 6 home runs and 37 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 127 hits with 26 doubles, 6 triples, 9 homers and 45 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 86 hits with 9 doubles, 13 home runs and 58 RBIs. Connor Norby has 41 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 52 hits with 12 doubles, 12 homers and 50 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 64 hits with 11 doubles, 3 triples, 5 home runs and 25 RBIs this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their win over Milwaukee last time out to sit at 60-37 on the year. After this series, After this series, the Brewers will take on the New York Mets in a series at home.
Brewers Snap Three-Game Slide
Entering Friday, William Contreras has 97 hits with 13 doubles, 9 home runs and 53 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 95 hits with 23 doubles, 3 triples, 14 homers and 60 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 79 hits with 15 doubles, 18 home runs and 59 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 65 hits with 4 home runs and 34 RBIs this season. Garrett Mitchell has 74 hits with 20 doubles and 44 RBIs this season.
Miami Marlins @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: July 18, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane Drohan Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 3.09
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Marlins: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine home games after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games after going to extra innings.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five day games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Meyer Record this season: 9-1 ERA: 2.58
- Road Record: 4-1
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Brewers have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against the Marlins following a win.
- The Marlins have won each of their last six Saturday games as underdogs against the Brewers.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six day games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Fourteen of the Brewers’ last 15 games after going to extra innings have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Marlins’ last seven games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of Shane Drohan’s last six appearances as a starter.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Shane Drohan has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Max Meyer has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances in day games.
- Liam Hicks has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Meyer has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances in day games.
- Griffin Conine has hit a home run in each of the Marlins’ last three games as underdogs.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (129) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (90).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (405).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for triples this season (24).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (103).
Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
I’m backing Miami here. The Marlins’ offensive issues came out to play again on Friday, but so did Milwaukee’s and I think Miami does have a significant edge in starting pitching here as Meyer has been one of the best starters in all of baseball this season. I’ll back Miami to get hte job done in this one.