The Minnesota Twins and Milwaukee Brewers clash Tuesday in game 1 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Twins look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Twins have a 6-game lead in the AL Central. The Twins pitching staff is 8th in ERA (3.89), 3rd in WHIP (1.20) and 1st in quality starts (63). The Twins offense is 20th in runs per game (4.41), 21st in batting average (.239) and 7th in homers (168). Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 98 hits and 54 RBI, while Donovan Solano and Max Kepler have combined for 160 hits and 74 RBI. Bailey Ober gets the ball, and he is 6-6 with a 3.40 ERA and 113 strikeouts this season. This will be Ober’s second career game against the Brewers.
Minnesota Twins Team Facts
- The Twins have lost each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line 12 of their last 13 road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three games at American Family Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jorge Polanco has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his five previous appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one total base in each of the Twins’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
- Donovan Solano has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers look to stay hot after winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Brewers have a 2.5-game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 11th in ERA (4.00), 4th in WHIP (1.22) and 8th in quality starts (55). The Brewers’ offense is 22nd in runs per game (4.30), 28th in batting average (.234) and 22nd in homers (130). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 134 hits and 67 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 199 hits and 112 RBI. Wade Miley gets the ball, and he is 6-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Miley is 1-0 with a 4.18 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Twins.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have lost each of their last seven games at American Family Field following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a win.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four home games against AL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Santana has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded two or more hits in four of his last five appearances against the Twins.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Willy Adames has scored a run in each of his last five home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Wade Miley has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks T1st in the league for hits allowed this season (971).
- The Minnesota Twins ranks 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1289).
- The Minnesota Twins ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1193).
Randy’s Pick
The Brewers are playing the hotter baseball right now, and we’re getting them at a pick em price at home. Wade Miley has also been slightly more consistent than Bailey Ober, as his 3.05 ERA and 1.17 WHIP makes him one of the better pitchers in the NL this season despite the 82.2 inning smaller sample size. Miley has allowed 5 earned runs in his last 15 innings. Ober has been a lot more hittable lately, and he has a .265 allowed batting average on the road. Give me the Brewers at the pick em price.
