In this article, we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, October 2nd at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in this NL Wild Card series.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this matchup facing elimination after allowing eight runs in their game-one loss on Tuesday. Milwaukee jumped out to a quick lead in the first inning and led 4-3 in the fourth, but they allowed five runs in the fifth for the loss. Prior to the postseason, the Brewers won two out of three against the Mets, won two out of three against the Pirates, and lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks.
The Milwaukee pitching staff had a 3.65 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average during the regular season. The Brewers’ offense scored 777 runs with a .248 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this year. Willy Adames hit .251 with 32 home runs and 112 RBIs for the Brewers this season.
NY Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are flying high after winning game one by a score of 8-4 on Tuesday night. New York allowed two quick runs in the game, but they responded with three runs in the second and five runs in the fifth for the win. Prior to the postseason, the Mets split a doubleheader with the Braves on Monday, lost two out of three against the Brewers, and lost one game against the Braves.
The New York pitching staff had a 3.96 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .230 opponent batting average this year. The Mets offense scored 768 runs with a .246 batting average and a .319 on-base percentage during the regular season. Pete Alonso hit .240 with 34 home runs and 88 RBIs for the Mets this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Frankie Montas, who is 7-11 with a 4.84 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 150.2 innings pitched this year. Montas has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 12-6 with a 3.47 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 181.2 innings pitched this season. Manaea has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last five starts, including five earned runs against Milwaukee last Friday.
Why the Brewers will beat the Mets
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost each of their last four playoff games following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six Wednesday night games against the Mets.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against the Mets at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday night games against the Mets.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last four road playoff games has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances against the Mets.
- Gary Sanchez has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- William Contreras has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last seven games against the Mets.
- Frankie Montas has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances in night games.
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 Wednesday appearances at American Family Field.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Wednesday appearances at American Family Field.
- Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (50) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in each of the Mets’ last 11 road games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Harrison Bader has hit a home run in four of his last five playoff appearances after playing the previous day.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Harrison Bader has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances in night playoff games.
- Harrison Bader has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in night playoff games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (217).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (597).
- The New York Mets rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.230).
- The New York Mets rank 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (586).
Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction
New York was able to take game one in this series and push Milwaukee to the brink of elimination, but I have to go with Milwaukee in this game. The Brewers were 47-34 at home during the regular season and they just lit up Manaea less than a week ago. New York has plenty of momentum right now, but I think the Brewers will win and force a game three.