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Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction 9-28-24 MLB Picks

NY Mets (87-71) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (92-68)
September 28, 2024 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Milwaukee Brewers -120 / NY Mets +102; Over/Under: +8
(Get latest betting odds)

The New York Mets and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The New York Mets will start Jose Quintana here and Quintana is 10-9 with a 3.74 ERA and 126 strikeouts this season. Milwaukee will start Jared Koenig here and Koenig is 9-4 with a 2.51 ERA and 61 strikeouts this season.

New York Mets Recap

The New York Mets come into this one looking to rebound after starting the series with an 8-4 loss at the hands of the Brew Crew in Friday’s opener. The loss put the Mets behind the 8-ball early as they’re trying to build on series wins over the Phillies and Nationals over the last week and a half.

Mets Looking To Right The Ship

Going into Friday’s opener, Pete Alonso has 34 home runs and 88 RBIs with 31 doubles and Francisco Lindor has 39 doubles of his own with 31 home runs and 86 RBIs along with 27 stolen bases. Brandon Nimmo has 87 RBIs and 149 strikeouts while Lindor has a team-high 163 hits and Harrison Bader has 17 stolen bases as well this season.

Why the New York Mets will win

  • The Mets have won seven of their last eight night games following a loss.
  • The Brewers have lost each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games against National League opponents following a home win.

Milwaukee Brewers Recap

The Milwaukee Brewers will try to keep their momentum going after starting the set with the win on Friday. A series win would give the Brewers back-to-back series W’s to close out the regular season after taking out the Pirates earlier in the week.

Brewers Trying To Play Spoiler After Clinching

Entering Friday, William Contreras leads the Brewers with 166 hits including 37 doubles and 92 RBIs along with 23 home runs and a .364 OBP while Rhys Hoskins has 25 home runs with 78 RBIs and Willy Adames has 33 doubles with 32 home runs and 111 RBIs. Brice Turang leads the Brewers with 47 stolen bases while Adames has a team-high 171 strikeouts as well this season. Jackson Chourio’s added 21 homers and 78 RBIs also on the year.

Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win

  • The Mets have lost each of their last 13 games at American Family Field following a road loss.
  • The Brewers have won each of their last 10 home games against the Mets following a win.
  • The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at American Family Field.

Milwaukee Brewers vs NY Mets Prediction

I’m on the Brewers here. I gave the Mets the benefit of the doubt with Sean Manaea pitching on Friday as he had been red hot for the Mets, but New York blew it and I’m starting to feel like my suspicions may come to fruition where I think the Mets could miss out and the Braves could clinch with a doubleheader sweep on Monday. Look for the Mets to throw away another opportunity here and for the Brewers to cash in in this one.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Milwaukee -120

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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