The Philadelphia Phillies and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Tuesday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction. This will be the second installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Brewers vs Phillies pick.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
Over the weekend the Phillies took on the New York Mets. Philadelphia lost Friday 11-3 but came back to win the final pair and win the series. In their Monday opener versus the Brewers, Philly took a 6-2 loss. Ranger Suarez put up 5.0 innings in the start with three earned runs.
The starter for Tuesday will be Zack Wheeler. This year Wheeler is 15-6 with a 2.60 ERA in 29 starts. Wheeler is 102-69 with a 3.35 ERA in 256 starts over his career.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they beat the Arizona Diamondbacks in their first two weekend games but lost a tough one 11-10 on Sunday. In Monday’s matchup, the Brewers posted two runs in both the third and sixth innings. Starter Aaron Civale logged 5.0 innings with one earned run.
It’ll be Frankie Montas in the starter slot for the Brewers on Tuesday. This year Montas is 7-10 with a 4.49 ERA in 27 starts. Montas has a career record of 44-45 with a 4.01 ERA in 157 games (126 starts).
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last four games as home underdogs.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won seven of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last six Tuesday home games against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday home games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games at American Family Field following a road loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Brewers’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against the Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Phillies and Brewers.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last three games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
I’ll stick with the Phillies. Wheeler is on a solid run right now. In his last three starts, Wheeler is 3-0 with just three earned runs in 19.0 total innings. As for Montas, he’s coming off 6.0 clean frames in a win over the Giants but had seven earned in 12.0 frames prior to that.
On Monday the Phillies had a pretty good offensive night overall but couldn’t cash in on their 11 team hits. It wasn’t the greatest night on the mound either though, so Tuesday’s game will need a fresh start on both sides.