The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers clash Saturday in game 2 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pirates look for another win after winning 5 of their last 8 games. The Pirates are currently 9 games back in the NL Central. The Pirates pitching staff is 22nd in ERA (4.57), 24th in WHIP (1.39) and 12th in quality starts (41). The Pirates’ offense is 24th in runs per game (4.14), 23rd in batting average (.237) and 25th in homers (105). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 99 hits and 51 RBI, while Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes have combined for 155 hits and 62 RBI. Bailey Falter gets the ball, and he is 0-7 with a 5.13 ERA and 28 strikeouts this season. This will be Falter’s first career game against the Braves.
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts
- The Pirates have lost each of their last six road games following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as road underdogs following a win.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 7 innings in five of their last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Andrew McCutchen ranks 9th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.383) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers need a bounce back showing after losing 7 of their last 10 games. The Brewers still have a 0.5 game lead over the Reds in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 12th in ERA (4.08), 6th in WHIP (1.24) and 6th in quality starts (49). The Brewers’ offense is 23rd in runs per game (4.23), 27th in batting average (.234) and 22nd in homers (116). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 120 hits and 62 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 172 hits and 95 RBI. Corbin Burnes gets the ball, and he is 9-6 with a 3.44 ERA and 136 strikeouts this season. Burnes is 7-1 with a 3.36 ERA and 80 strikeouts in his career against the Pirates.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 night games against the Pirates at American Family Field following a loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three night games between the Pirates and Brewers at American Family Field.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks T3rd in the league for walks this season (395).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.378).
- The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for RBI’s this season (430).
- The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for runs scored this season (451).
Randy’s Pick
The Pirates can’t be trusted to continue their winning ways and Bailey Falter wasn’t good with the Phillies, so I doubt changing uniforms is going to change much. Falter has a serious issue keeping the ball in the park, allowing 1.6 homers per 9 innings for his career. The Brewers are due for a bounce back performance, and they need a win to simply keep the Reds off their back in the division. Corbin Burnes is the ace for a reason, winning games like this. Burnes has allowed 8 runs in his last 39 innings. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.
