The Pittsburgh Pirates and Milwaukee Brewers clash Saturday in game 4 of an MLB series at American Family Field. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Pirates are currently 8.5 games out of a wild card spot. The Pirates pitching staff is 22nd in ERA (4.54), 24th in WHIP (1.39) and 12th in quality starts (41). The Pirates’ offense is 24th in runs per game (4.12), 26th in batting average (.236) and 25th in homers (105). Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 99 hits and 51 RBI, while Andrew McCutchen and Ke’Bryan Hayes have combined for 155 hits and 62 RBI. Johan Oviedo gets the ball, and he is 5-11 with a 4.42 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season. Oviedo is 1-2 with a 6.16 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Brewers.
Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts
- The Pirates have won each of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a road loss.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven day games at American Family Field.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL Central opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four day games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six day games.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last four day games.
- Bryan Reynolds has scored a run in each of the Pirates’ last five day games.
- Johan Oviedo has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded two or more hits in each of the Pirates’ last four day games.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Brewers need a win after losing 6 of their last 9 games. The Brewers have a 1.5 game lead in the NL Central. The Brewers pitching staff is 12th in ERA (4.05), 7th in WHIP (1.24) and 6th in quality starts (50). The Brewers’ offense is 23rd in runs per game (4.22), 27th in batting average (.234) and 22nd in homers (116). Christian Yelich leads the Brewers with 120 hits and 63 RBI, while William Contreras and Willy Adames have combined for 173 hits and 95 RBI. Brandon Woodruff gets the ball, and he is 1-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 12 strikeouts this season. Woodruff is 6-2 with a 3.70 ERA and 88 strikeouts in his career against the Pirates.
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have lost each of their last six games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven day games between the Pirates and Brewers at American Family Field.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as home favourites against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded nine or more strikeouts in six of his last seven home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances in day games.
- Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Carlos Santana has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his eight previous appearances in day games against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last 13 appearances in day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks T3rd in the league for walks this season (398).
- The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
- The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (857).
- The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 27th in the league for runs scored this season (453).
Randy’s Pick
The Pittsburgh Pirates are going nowhere fast, and last night’s loss in extra innings doesn’t help the confidence. The Brewers are starting to create some distance in the division with the Reds struggles, and they have to look at this as another opportunity. Brandon Woodruff has just 11.1 innings, but he’s been great in the limited sample size, and we know what he’s capable of when in good form. The Pirates have lost 8 of the last 10 games Johan Oviedo has pitched. Give me the Brewers and the RL for max betting value.
