The San Diego Padres and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Monday in MLB action from American Family Field. Here’s a Padres vs Brewers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for the game. We will examine:
- The San Diego Padres recent form and player performance
- The Milwaukee Brewers recent form and player performance
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the San Diego Padres
- Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Milwaukee Brewers
- Recent betting trends in games played between the Padres and Brewers
- A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Padres vs Brewers game
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The Padres took on the Los Angeles Dodgers in their weekend series. San Diego eked out a one-run win in the opener before a 5-2 loss Saturday. In game three the Padres came back from a 3-1 deficit to post a nice win 6-3. The Padres posted eight team hits along the way. Starter Yu Darvish put up 5.0 innings with three earned runs on four hits and two walks.
In the starting pitcher role for the Padres on Monday it’ll be Joe Musgrove. In four starts this year Musgrove is 1-2 with a 6.87 ERA and 17 strikeouts over 18.1 innings. Musgrove has a career record of 61-59 with a 3.78 ERA in 191 games (165 starts).
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
Over on the Brewers’ side, they’re fresh off a series versus the Orioles. Milwaukee won the first two installments of that set 11-1 and 11-5, then on Sunday the Brewers took a 6-4 loss by blowing a 4-3 lead in the seventh. William Contreras and Blake Perkins each posted solo homers in the losing effort.
It’ll be Joe Ross in the starting pitcher role for the Brewers on Monday. Over his two starts this year Ross is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 10 Ks in 10.0 innings. Ross is 27-28 with a 4.21 ERA in 100 career games (78 starts).
Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts
- The Brewers have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Team Facts
- The Padres have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Padres’ last 10 games at American Family Field.
- The Padres have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last four games as road favorites against National League opponents.
Padres vs Brewers Prediction
I’ll probably stick with the Brewers. Ross is coming off a pretty good showing in a victory versus the Reds. He went 6.1 innings in that one, posting two earned on five hits and a walk. Another quality start from Ross should set the Brewers up well on Monday.
In their Sunday matchup Milwaukee posted 12 team hits in a pretty nice offensive showing. The bad news is that the Brewers coughed up 11 hits on the other side and blew a late lead. The bullpen gave up three earned on six hits and one walk in 2.1 innings. Milwaukee obviously needs a better pitching effort on Monday, but I think they’ve got a shot.