Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 9-2-24 MLB Picks

In this article we will formulate a Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 2nd at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 80-57 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against Cincinnati, where they won three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Brewers won two out of three against the Giants, won two out of three against the Athletics, and lost two out of three against the Cardinals. Milwaukee is 7-3 in their last 10 games and they are first in the NL Central. 

The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 668 runs with a .253 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .255 with 28 home runs and 96 RBI’s for the Brewers this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

The St. Louis Cardinals are 69-68 this season and they have won four of their last five games. St. Louis is coming off of a series win against the Yankees, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Cardinals split four games with the Padres, won two out of three against the Twins, and won two out of three against the Brewers. St. Louis is 8-4 in their last 12 games and they are third in the NL Central. 

The St. Louis pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Cardinals offense has scored 572 runs with a .249 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Paul Goldschmidt is batting .244 with 20 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Cardinals this season. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 9-7 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched this year. Peralta has allowed a total of one earned run in his last three starts (17.0 IP). The projected starting pitcher for St. Louis is Andre Pallante, who is 6-6 with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 92.1 innings pitched this season. Pallante has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. 

Why the Cardinals will beat the Brewers

• The Brewers have lost each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Cardinals have won each of their last five day games after playing the previous day.
• The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line each of their last five day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five Monday games as favorites.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Brewers’ last eight home games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Each of the Cardinals’ last four day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last five games as home favorites against National League opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cardinals’ last four games.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

• Willy Adames has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL Central opponents.
• Jackson Chourio has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Rhys Hoskins has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five home appearances against the Cardinals.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight home appearances against NL Central opponents.
• William Contreras has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Brewers’ last 11 home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 11 games as favorites against the Cardinals.
• Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last six home appearances against the Cardinals.
• Christian Yelich has recorded at least one total base in 14 of his last 15 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Brice Turang ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (40) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one Double in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against NL opponents.
• Masyn Winn has scored at least one run in each of the Cardinals’ last six games against NL opponents.
• Masyn Winn has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cardinals’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cardinals’ last 10 road games.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one total base in each of the Cardinals’ last 10 road games.
• Nolan Gorman has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (515).
• The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (1085).
• The St. Louis Cardinals rank 6th in the league for walks allowed this season (383).

Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 

Milwaukee comes into this matchup after another series win and they are rolling in the NL Central, but the Cardinals have played well over the last two weeks. The Brewers are 40-25 at home this season, while the Cardinals are 33-36 on the road. St. Louis is probably too far out of contention in the NL Wild Card race, but they still have a shot if they can stay hot. Both of these pitchers have been great in recent starts and while I do think runs will be hard to find, I am going to give the slight edge to St. Louis with Pallante on the mound, as he has been very good since early June. Take the Cardinals here.