The Washington Nationals and the Milwaukee Brewers meet Saturday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Brewers vs Nationals Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Washington Nationals will send out Shinnosuke Ogasawara for the start here, and Ogasawara is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and 2 strikeouts this season. This will be Ogasawara’s first career start against the Brewers. The Milwaukee Brewers will toss out Brandon Woodruff here, and Woodruff is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 8 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Nationals, Woodruff is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 39 strikeouts.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to bounce back from an 8-3 loss at the hands of the Brewers in Friday’s series opener to sit at 38-56 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head home for a series against the San Diego Padres following the All-Star break.
Nationals Drop 6 Of Their Last 7
Keibert Ruiz has 63 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 25 RBIs, while James Wood has 99 hits with 19 doubles and a team-high 24 home runs, along with 69 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while also putting up 111 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 83 hits with 14 doubles and 61 RBIs, along with 14 home runs and 106 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 12 home runs and 31 RBIs along with 20 doubles and 19 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 19 doubles and 8 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last seven Saturday games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last six Saturday day games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight day games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine Saturday day games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven road games.
- Josh Bell has recorded a Double in four of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- James Wood ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.387) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their win over Washington from Friday’s matchup to improve to 54-40 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head back on the road for a rematch series with the Dodgers post all-star break.
Brewers Win 5 Straight
Brice Turang has 94 hits with 5 home runs, 38 RBIs, and 17 stolen bases. Jackson Chourio has 101 hits with a team-high 24 doubles, 16 stolen bases, 15 home runs, and 56 RBIs. Sal Frelick has 97 hits as well as 3 triples and 16 stolen bases so far this season. Christian Yelich also has 14 stolen bases with 18 homers and 63 RBIs while also adding 11 doubles. Yelich also has a team-high 98 strikeouts up to this point in the year. William Contreras has 6 homers and 35 RBIs as well this season. Rhys Hoskins has added 65 hits with 12 home runs, 42 RBIs, and 12 doubles.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games at American Family Field.
- The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games at American Family Field.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 26 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one Double in each of the Brewers’ last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Brandon Woodruff has recorded a win in five of his six previous appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Brewers vs Nationals Prediction
I’m on the Brewers here. I didn’t like what I saw from Ogasawara in his major league debut. While I was on the other side of Woodruff in his season debut, thinking it would take him time to reacclimate, he looked like he didn’t miss a beat. I think with the discrepancy in form between these two teams, I have to roll with the Brewers here.