In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, August 26th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 72-58 this season and they have split their last four games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss against St. Louis, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins lost two out of three against the Padres, won three out of four against the Rangers, and won two out of three against the Royals. Minnesota is just 2-5 in their last seven games and they are tied for second in the AL Central.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .233 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 633 runs with a .253 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .237 with 18 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Twins this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 70-60 this year and they have won three of their last four games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against Washington, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Braves won two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the Angels, and won three out of four against the Giants. Atlanta is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.64 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 553 runs with a .241 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .305 with 37 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 12-5 with a 3.54 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 140.0 innings pitched this year. Ober has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 7-7 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season. Fried has allowed at least three earned runs in three of his last four outings.
Why the Twins will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost nine of their last 10 games following a home loss.
- The Twins have won each of their last four home games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games following a home loss.
- The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Braves and Twins.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Monday home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last eight games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Braves’ last three games as underdogs.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances.
- Bailey Ober has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as home favorites.
- Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Carlos Correa has recorded two or more RBIs in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober ranks T7th in the league for Wins (12) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded a win in three of his four previous appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one Single in each of his seven previous appearances with his team as a road underdog against the Twins.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Orlando Arcia has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances with his team as an underdog against the Twins.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of the Braves’ last three games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last six games against the Twins.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of the Braves’ last five games against the Twins.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves’ last five road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Marcell Ozuna ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (37) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (254).
- The Minnesota Twins rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (332).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1226).
- The Atlanta Braves rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (120).
Minnesota Twins vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
Minnesota comes into this series after struggling over the last week, and they have allowed the Royals to tie them for second in the AL Central. The Twins are 37-26 at home this year, while the Braves are 34-32 on the road. Atlanta has been up and down this season, but they have played well over the last few weeks and they are trying to make a run at the Phillies in the NL East. Atlanta is starting Max Fried, who has been pretty good this season, but has had some struggles recently. Minnesota is going with Ober, who has been great over the last few weeks. This should be a very good pitching matchup, but I give the small edge to Ober and the Twins.