In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 2nd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Twins Offense is Red Hot
The Minnesota Twins are 47-37 this year and they have won four of their last five games. Minnesota is coming off of a series win against Seattle, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Twins won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Athletics, and lost two out of three against the Rays. Minnesota is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are second in the AL Central.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 404 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Carlos Correa is batting .311 with nine home runs and 40 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored at least five runs in four of their last five games.
Tigers Continue to Disappoint
The Detroit Tigers are 38-46 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Detroit is coming off of a series loss against the Angels, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Tigers lost two out of three against the Phillies, won two out of three against the White Sox, and lost all three against the Braves. Detroit is just 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 341 runs with a .228 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .253 with 15 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored two runs or fewer in 10 of their last 14 games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 9-3 with a 2.32 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 97.0 innings pitched this year. Skubal has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts, but has allowed four earned runs in his last two road starts. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 3-1 with a 3.41 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 66.0 innings pitched this season. Woods Richardson has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five outings.
Why the Tigers will beat the Twins
- The Tigers have won each of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have lost six of their last seven home games against the Tigers following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Twins at Target Field.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last five road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Twins’ last five games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three night games.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Twins’ last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Trevor Larnach has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Gio Urshela has scored a run in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Twins.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last four road games against the Twins.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Tigers’ last five games at Target Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers’ last three games at Target Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in each of the Tigers’ last six games at Target Field.
- Matt Vierling has recorded two or more hits in each of his four previous appearances at Target Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games.
Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit limps into this series really struggling over the last few weeks and their offense is one of the most inconsistent in the MLB. On the bright side for Detroit, they will have Skubal on the mound, who has been one of the better pitchers in the AL this season. The Tigers are 19-24 on the road, while the Twins are 23-16 at home. Minnesota is going with Woods Richardson, who has been very solid so far this season. I don’t trust the Detroit offense at all, but I am going to back Skubal in this spot. My Minnesota Twins vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for the Tigers to win.