In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs LA Angels prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 9th at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 76-67 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Minnesota is coming off of a series loss against Kansas City, where they lost all three games and only scored two runs in the three games. Prior to that series, the Twins split four games with the Rays, won two out of three against the Blue Jays, and lost all three against the Braves. Minnesota is 4-10 in their last 14 games and they are third in the AL Central.
The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .236 opponent batting average. The Twins’ offense has scored 668 runs with a .249 batting average and a .318 on-base percentage. Carlos Santana is batting .235 with 20 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Twins this season.
LA Angels Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Angels are 59-84 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Los Angeles is coming off of a series loss against Texas, where they dropped three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Angels split two games with the Dodgers, won two out of three against the Mariners, and lost two out of three against the Tigers. Los Angeles is 5-12 in their last 17 games and they are last in the AL West.
The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Angels offense has scored 561 runs with a .228 batting average and a .300 on-base percentage. Zach Neto is batting .256 with 20 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Angels this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is David Festa, who is 2-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 47.1 innings pitched this year. Festa has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Reid Detmers, who is 3-6 with a 5.87 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this season. Detmers has allowed at least three earned runs in four of his last five starts.
Why the Angels will beat the Twins
- The Angels have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Twins have lost eight of their last nine night games after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Angels have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Twins following a road loss.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Angels’ last four games against AL Central opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Twins’ last six night games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last six games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last three games at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances against the Angels.
- Ryan Jeffers has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL West opponents.
- Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against the Angels.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in nine of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Kepler has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against AL West opponents.
- Willi Castro has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 16 appearances against the Angels.
Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts
- Taylor Ward has hit a home run in four of the Angels’ last five games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Mike Trout has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Twins.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances with the Angels as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Luis Rengifo has scored at least one run in each of his last six appearances with the Angels as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Reid Detmers has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Luis Rengifo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL Central opponents.
Minnesota Twins vs LA Angels Prediction
The Twins come into this matchup after a very disappointing series against the Royals, and they are starting to see their lead for the last AL Wild Card spot disappear. Minnesota has struggled over the last few weeks and Detroit, Seattle, and Boston are getting closer in the standings. The Twins are 39-30 at home this year, while the Angels are 29-42 on the road.
LA is going with Detmers, who is making his second start since coming back up, but he has had a brutal time in the majors. The Twins are going with Festa, who has pitched well recently, but I don’t know how much I trust him. Minnesota’s recent struggles are definitely a worry, so I think the Angels have some value here.