The Milwaukee Brewers and the Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action from Target Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Milwaukee Brewers will send out Logan Henderson here and Henderson is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 16 strikeouts this season. This will be Henderson’s first career start against the Twins. Connor Prielipp will start for the Twins and is 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA and 21 strikeouts this season. This will be Prielipp’s first career start against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Recap
The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game looking to add on to their 3-2 win over the Twins from Friday to sit at 25-17 this season. After this series, the Brewers will head on the road for a series against the Chicago Cubs.
Brewers Win 7 Of Last 8
William Contreras has 44 hits with 8 doubles, 3 home runs and 27 RBIs while Brice Turang’s added 43 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 6 homers and 27 RBIs. Jake Bauers has 36 hits with 9 doubles, 6 home runs and 22 RBIs and Sal Frelick’s added 30 hits with 3 home runs and 12 RBIs this season. Luis Rengifo’s added 26 hits with 8 doubles and 14 RBIs and Garrett Mitchell has 26 hits wtih 8 doubles and 22 RBIs this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Milwaukee last time out to sit at 20-25 this season. After this series, the Twins will head home for a series against the Houston Astros.
Twins Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Byron Buxton has 44 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 23 RBIs while Josh Bell’s added 33 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 24 RBIs. Luke Keaschall has 36 hits with 8 doubles, a homer and 15 RBIs and Matt Wallner has 20 hits with 3 doubles, 4 home runs and 10 RBIs. Brooks Lee has 5 home runs with 24 RBIs and Victor Caratini has 14 RBIs while Ryan Jeffers has 32 hits with 6 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 25 RBIs this season.
Milwaukee Brewers @ Minnesota Twins Betting Trends: May 16, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Connor Prielipp Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 3.32
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Brewers’ last six games at Target Field.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 16 games as home underdogs.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Henderson Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 4.15
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Twins: –
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last 10 Saturday home games.
- The Brewers have won 10 of their last 11 night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday home games.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against the Twins.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Target Field against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last five night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Twins’ last six games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Brewers’ last five games against American League opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine Saturday appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in four of his last eight appearances with the Brewers as favorites against AL opponents.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents.
- Brice Turang ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.418) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Twins rank 26th in the league for strikeouts this season (340).
- The Twins rank 7th in the league for runs scored this season (213).
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (27).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (32).
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Brewers here. I just think that this is a Twins team that’s flat out struggling to be consistent, and even if the starters were to cancel each other out here, I still think that the Brewers have the much better bullpen and have been doing a far better job of finding ways to win so give me the Brewers.