Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 7-23-24 Picks

In this article we will formulate a Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 23rd at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.

Twins are Battling with the Royals 

The Minnesota Twins are 55-44 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. Minnesota won the first game in this series by a score of 7-2 on Monday night. Prior to this series, the Twins lost both games against the Brewers, lost two out of three against the Giants, and won two out of three against the White Sox. Minnesota is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are tied with Kansas City for second in the AL Central. 

The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 484 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Ryan Jeffers is batting .238 with 14 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. 

Phillies Looking to Get Back on Track 

The Philadelphia Phillies are 63-37 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Philadelphia dropped the first game in this series and they allowed seven runs in the loss. Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Athletics, and swept the Dodgers in three games. Philadelphia is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are first in the NL East. 

The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 493 runs with a .258 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .296 with 11 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Phillies this season. Philadelphia has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 3-1 with a 3.51 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 82.0 innings pitched this season. Woods Richardson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this year. Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. 

Why the Twins will beat the Phillies

• The Twins have won each of their last five games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last eight games.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday night games against AL Central opponents.
• The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
• The Twins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home underdogs.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Twins’ last six night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games at Target Field.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Max Kepler has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as home underdogs against NL opponents.
• Carlos Santana has recorded a Double in three of the Twins’ last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Miranda has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
• Carlos Correa has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
• Carlos Santana has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances against the Twins.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Twins.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against AL opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Phillies’ last six games against AL Central opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded eight or more strikeouts in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in four of the Phillies’ last five games as road favorites.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one total base in each of his 11 previous appearances against the Twins.

Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 

Philadelphia continues to struggle over the last couple of weeks, but they do remain 8.5 games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East standings. The Phillies are 26-21 on the road, while the Twins are 28-20 at home. Minnesota has been a very streaky team so far this season and they are in a battle with Cleveland and Kansas City in the AL Central. The Twins will start Woods Richardson, who has been very solid for them this year. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has been lights out in his last four outings. I really don’t like how this Philadelphia team has looked over the last two weeks, as their pitching staff has been beaten up, so my Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction is for the Twins to get the win.