The San Diego Padres and the Minnesota Twins meet Saturday in MLB action from T-Mobile Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The San Diego Padres will start Nick Pivetta here and Pivetta is 13-4 with a 2.82 ERA and 161 strikeouts this season. In his career, Pivetta is 2-1 with a 6.19 ERA and 15 strikeouts against Minnesota. Taj Bradley will get the start for the Twins here and is 6-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 96 strikeouts this season. This will be Bradley’s second career start against San Diego.
San Diego Padres Recap
The San Diego Padres come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-4 loss at the hands of the Minnesota Twins last time out to sit at 75-60 on the year. After this series, the Padres will head home for a series against the Baltimore Orioles.
Padres Drop Back-To-Back Games
Manny Machado has 149 hits including a team-high 32 doubles, 21 home runs, 78 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while Fernando Tatis Jr. has 134 hits with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs along with 27 stolen bases of his own this season. Luis Arraez has added 148 hits with 29 doubles, 4 triples, 6 home runs and 49 RBIs while Jackson Merrill’s added 91 hits with 9 home runs and 51 RBIs as well. Xander Bogaerts also has 29 doubles and 20 stolen bases as well this season. Gavin Sheets also has 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 60 RBIs as well this season.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last six night games following a win.
- The Padres have won each of their last eight Saturday games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday games against AL Central opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded a Double in each of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Manny Machado ranks 4th in the league in Hits (149) this season.
Minnesota Twins Recap
The Minnesota Twins come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Padres last time out to sit at 61-73 this season. After this series, the Twins will welcome the Chicago White Sox.
Twins Looking To Build Steam
Byron Buxton has 105 hits along with 15 doubles, a team-high 27 home runs and 66 RBIs with 21 stolen bases and 4 triples while Trevor Larnach’s chipped in 105 hits with 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 53 RBIs as well this season. Brooks Lee has contributed 98 hits with 13 doubles, 14 home runs and 56 RBIs and Matt Wallner has 20 homers and 35 RBIs as well.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL West opponents following a home win.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as road favorites against American League opponents following a road loss.
- The Twins have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday night games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in four of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one Double in six of his last seven appearances with the Twins as home underdogs against NL opponents.
- Byron Buxton ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.535) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine night games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Twins’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
San Diego Padres vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction
I’m on the Padres in this one. I get the case to be made for the Twins as a home underdog, but Taj Bradley is not a pitcher I want to have my money on, especially when he’s expected to match zeroes with Nick Pivetta with the Padres’ offense coming into the equation as well. I think this is a Padres spot so give me San Diego here.