The Seattle Mariners and Minnesota Twins meet Thursday in MLB game 4 action at Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 20-17 on the season and will play the Athletics and Royals after this series. The Seattle Mariners have scored 14 runs in their last 3 games and 3 or fewer runs in 8 of their last 11 games. The Seattle Mariners have lost 5 of their last 7 games when scoring 3 or fewer runs. Julio Rodriguez leads the Seattle Mariners with 39 hits and 11 RBI, while Josh Rojas and Ty France have combined for 60 hits and 17 RBI.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 21-15 this season and will play the Blue Jays and Yankees after this series. The Minnesota Twins have scored 15 runs in their last 3 games and 4 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games. The Minnesota Twins have won 12 of their last 15 games when scoring 4 or more runs. Ryan Jeffers leads the Minnesota Twins with 33 hits and 27 RBI while Willi Castro and Byron Buxton have combined for 56 hits and 25 RBI.
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Pitching Matchup
Logan Gilbert gets the ball for the Seattle Mariners, and he is 3-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 50 strikeouts this season. Gilbert has allowed 21 hits and 8 runs in his last 41 innings. Gilbert is fifth in ERA and fourth in WHIP at 0.79. Gilbert has to be in the early CY Young race. Gilbert is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Minnesota Twins.
Pablo Lopez gets the ball for the Minnesota Twins, and he is 3-2 with a 4.30 ERA and 45 strikeouts this season. Lopez has a 4.02 ERA and .254 allowed batting average in 15.2 home innings. Lopez has a 1.04 WHIP, which is 27th in MLB. Lopez is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 15 strikeouts in his career against the Seattle Mariners.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Pablo Lopez Record this season: 3-2 ERA: 4.30
- The Twins have won 14 of their last 16 games.
- The Mariners have lost four of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in five of their last six games against AL West opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against AL West opponents.
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Logan Gilbert Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 1.69
- The Mariners have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against the Twins following a road loss.
- The Twins have lost each of their last four games as home favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last 11 day games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 day games against AL West opponents following a home win.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games at Target Field against AL West opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mariners’ last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Sixteen of the Twins’ last 20 games as favorites against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last seven games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last five day games between the Mariners and Twins at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners Prediction
It’s hard to bet against the Minnesota Twins with the way they’ve been racking up the wins these last couple of weeks. Pablo Lopez is also an all star caliber pitcher, so at home, the Twins are a nice bet with the quick turnaround. With all that said, we’re getting plus money with Logan Gilbert, arguably the best starting pitcher in baseball through the first couple of months. Gilbert is absolutely dealing right now and getting the more favorable price, it’s hard to pass up. Give me the Mariners.