The Toronto Blue Jays and the Minnesota Twins meet Friday in MLB action from Target Field. Here’s a Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Twins vs Blue Jays pick.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Preview
The Jays are coming off a series versus the Boston Red Sox. Toronto split the first two games, then on Wednesday the team fell 3-0. In the finale, the Jays posted a 2-0 shutout win. Bowden Francis was great in the start on 7.0 clean frames, one hit, no walks and five Ks.
In the starter slot for Toronto on Friday it’ll be Kevin Gausman. So far Gausman is 12-9 with a 4.10 ERA in 26 starts. Gausman is an even 100-100 in his career with a 3.86 ERA in 324 games (285 starts).
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
Over on the Twins’ side, they played the Atlanta Braves in their last set. Minnesota lost 10-6 and 8-6 before a 5-1 loss in the finale to complete the sweep. Starter David Festa put up 6.0 innings with two earned runs on two hits and a walk alongside seven Ks.
As starting pitcher Friday the Twins are sending out Pablo Lopez. This year Lopez is 12-8 with a 4.26 ERA in 26 starts. Over 152 career games, Lopez is 51-47 with a 3.93 ERA.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Twins at Target Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last nine night games against AL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Blue Jays and Twins at Target Field.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Correa has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Pablo Lopez has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Twins as favorites.
- Willi Castro has recorded at least one hit in each of the Twins’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Willi Castro has recorded at least one total base in each of the Twins’ last 10 games as favorites against AL opponents.
- Byron Buxton has recorded at least one Double in nine of his last 12 appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Manuel Margot has recorded at least one Single in each of his last five appearances.
- Pablo Lopez has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last eight Friday appearances.
- Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Twins’ last three games against the Blue Jays.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded a Double in nine of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Blue Jays’ last 11 games at Target Field.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays’ last four games against AL Central opponents.
- George Springer has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays’ last 19 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one total base in each of the Blue Jays’ last 19 games as underdogs against AL opponents.
Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction
I’ll go with the Twins, even though they’ve lost their last four. Lopez is on a nice run right now. Over his last three starts Lopez is 2-0 with just two earned (both in the same game) in 19.0 innings of work. As for Gausman, he should do pretty well also. Gausman is 2-1 in his last trio with four earned over 19.0 innings total.
Minnesota does need a good bounce-back after that last series, though. The Twins really only had one bad inning (four runs) in the finale loss, but the real trouble is that they gave up a whopping 23 runs across those three outings. Lopez should be able to start things off well Friday; it’ll be up to the pen to back him up and stop this losing streak.