In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Monday, September 15th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 62-87 this year after they won two out of three against Pittsburgh by scores of 6-5, 1-5, and 4-3. In their game three win, Washington trailed 3-0 in the first inning, but they tied the game in the second and scored the winning run in the eighth for the victory. The Nationals recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by DeJong, Nunez, and Young, who all had one RBI in the win. Washington started Cavalli, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Rutledge picked up the win and Beeter got the save.
Prior to that series, the Nationals split four games with the Marlins and won two out of three against the Cubs. Washington has lost three of their last five games and they are last in the NL East standings. The Washington pitching staff has a 5.28 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 637 runs with a .244 batting average and a .307 on base percentage this season. James Wood has led Washington with 27 home runs and 88 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 20 home runs and 60 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 8-15 with a 5.69 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 153.1 innings pitched this year.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 66-83 this season after they lost two out of three against Houston by scores of 3-11, 2-6, and 8-3. In their game three win, Atlanta was tied at two in the fourth inning, but they scored six of the last seven runs to get the victory. The Braves recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Albies and Leon, who both had three RBIs in the win. Atlanta started Wentz, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Stratton allowed two hits and one earned run over 2.0 innings for the win.
Prior to that series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Cubs and two out of three against the Mariners. Atlanta has lost six of their last eight games and they are currently fourth in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA with a 1.32 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 646 runs with a .242 batting average and a .316 on base percentage this year. Matt Olson has led Atlanta with 25 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Marcell Ozuna has added 20 home runs and 62 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Strider, who is 5-13 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP over 107.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Nationals will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against the Nationals following a win.
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as home underdogs against the Braves.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Braves.
Why the Braves will beat the Nationals
- The Nationals have lost each of their last eight Monday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have won five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six road games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Monday night home games against NL East opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last seven Monday games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Braves’ last six road games.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Luis Garcia has hit a home run in three of his last six appearances with the Nationals as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded a Double in each of the Nationals’ last three games against the Braves.
- Paul DeJong has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Monday appearances with his team as an underdog.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Strider has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 16 of his last 21 appearances with the Braves as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 10 road games against the Nationals.
- Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances with the Braves as favorites.
- Spencer Strider has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Nationals.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.28).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.266).
- The Braves rank 27th in the league for steals this season (75).
- The Braves rank 4th in the league for walks this season (517).
Nationals vs Braves Prediction
These two teams come into this matchup towards the bottom of the NL East standings, with Atlanta leading Washington by four games. The Braves are 30-44 on the road this year, while the Nationals are 31-43 at home. Washington is coming off of a series win against Pittsburgh and they are starting Parker, who has allowed 2, 2, 3, 6, and 5 earned runs in his last five starts. Atlanta is going with Strider, who has allowed 2, 3, 1, 7, and 8 earned runs in his last five. I don’t trust the pitchers in this matchup, so I am taking the over here.