In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 2nd at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 15-18 this year after they lost game one by a score of 6-1 last night. Washington really struggled at the plate in this one, but they did score one run in the seventh inning to avoid the shutout. The Nationals recorded two hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by House, who went 0-2 with one RBI. Irvin allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Perez allowed zero earned runs over two innings of work. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the White Sox.
This season, Washington has a 5.01 ERA with a 1.47 WHIP and a .263 opponent batting average, while they have scored 176 runs with a .239 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with eight home runs and 26 RBIs, while James Wood has added 10 home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Foster Griffin, who is 3-0 with a 2.67 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 33.2 innings pitched this year.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 17-14 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-1 on Friday. Milwaukee led 1-0 in the first inning and they never looked back in the lopsided win. The Brewers recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Contreras, who went 3-4 with three RBIs. Misiorowski allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Ashby allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Diamondbacks, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.65 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 166 runs with a .243 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Brice Turang has led the Brewers with four home runs and 20 RBIs, while Jake Bauers has added five home runs and 19 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Kyle Harrison, who is 2-1 with a 2.28 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 23.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won nine of their last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four road day games.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five home games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The road team has won each of the last seven games between the Brewers and Nationals.
- The Nationals have lost six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Brewers and Nationals.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against the Nationals.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three games.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the last 15 games between the Brewers and Nationals have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Brewers’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last six games at Nationals Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Nationals’ last eight games against National League opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last seven day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances against the Brewers.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has hit at least one home run in three of the Brewers’ last four day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup after winning three of their last five games, but they have really struggled at home to start the season. The Nationals are 3-11 at home this year, while the Brewers are 7-6 on the road. Milwaukee has won four of their last five games and they have scored 6+ in three of their last four. The Brewers are starting Harrison, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Foster Griffin has allowed 0, 3, 4, 0, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. Both pitchers have very solid numbers, but I have very little faith Harrison can keep these numbers going. Take the Nationals here.