In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, April 11th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 8-5 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 5-2 home record and are coming off a 3-7 home loss against the Nationals. Their previous three games were a 0-5 and a 2-3 road loss, and an 8-6 road win against the Red Sox.
The Brewers have a .244 batting average this season, .349 OBP and .384 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA and 1.35 WHIP. Christian Yelich is the team’s best hitter with a .340 batting average. Garrett Mitchell leads the team in RBI with 13, and Gary Sanchez adds a team-high 3 home runs.
Kyle Harrison (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 1-0 record, 2.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 5-8 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL East. They have a 4-3 away record and are coming off a 7-3 road win against the Brewers. Their previous three games were a 1-6 home loss, a 6-7 home loss, and a 9-6 home win against the Cardinals.
The Nationals have a .270 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .431 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.82 ERA and 1.60 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 15 and adding a team-high 4 home runs.
Foster Griffin (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 1-0 record, 2.70 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.
Washington Nationals @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: April 11, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Harrison Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 2.61
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Nationals: 0-1
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last four night games against the Brewers following a road win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six Saturday night games against the Nationals.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Nationals.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Nationals.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Nationals.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Foster Griffin Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 2.70
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have won three of the Nationals’ last four games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Nationals and Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eleven of the Nationals’ last 12 games as underdogs against the Brewers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Brewers’ last 10 games as home favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Nationals’ last six night games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in six of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang ranks T5th in the league in Steals (5) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in three of the Nationals’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (7) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (67).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (25).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.82).
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Nationals and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Nationals vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -180 home favorites. The Brewers lost their third straight game with a 3-7 defeat yesterday and are putting Kyle Harrison on the mound who has been decent this season but was terrible at home last season with a 9.31 ERA in four home games played. The Nats are better against lefties this season, hitting with a .300 batting average and have 6.3 runs/9 and have a better offense than the Brewers this season, so I lean towards Washington and the plus money in this matchup.