In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 7, at Nationals Park in Washington, District of Columbia. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (9-2, 3-2 Away) opened this new season in style with eight consecutive wins and series sweeps against the Chicago Cubs, Detroit Tigers, and Atlanta Braves. However, the Dodgers lost the series for the first time as they fell in two of three games against the Philadelphia Phillies on the road. Teoscar Hernandez was fantastic in the latest 8-7 loss as he led Los Angeles with five two home runs and RBI, while Tyler Glasnow lasted only 2.0 innings after allowing five runs on two hits with two strikeouts and five walks. Blake Treinen blew the save and took a loss.
This year, the Dodgers average 5.18 runs per game (7th in the MLB) on a .229/.312/.471 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 2.48 ERA (2nd) and 1.22 WHIP (10th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .268 batting average, four home runs, and 13 RBI this season.
Dustin May will take the mound for the Dodgers on Monday. The 27-year-old righty was solid in his first start of the season as he allowed just one run (not earned) on one hit with six strikeouts and three walks over 5.0 innings in a no-decision against the Braves.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals (3-6, 3-3 Home) lost the series to the Phillies and were swept by the Blue Jays before winning their first series of the season. Washington lost Game 1 of a three-game series against the Arizona Diamondbacks but bounced back with 4-3 and 5-4 victories. In the most recent game, Trevor Williams recorded a win after allowing three runs on five hits with six strikeouts and two walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Nationals average 3.78 runs per game (20th in the MLB) on a .226/.291/.413 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Nationals’ staff has a 4.78 ERA (23rd) and 1.55 WHIP (28th). Nathaniel Lowe leads the Nats with a .286 batting average, three home runs, and eight RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Nationals is MacKenzie Gore, who has a 0-1 record in two starts this year with a 2.45 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 11.0 innings.
Why the Dodgers will beat the Nationals
- The Nationals have lost each of their last 11 games against the Dodgers at Nationals Park following a win.
- The Dodgers have won each of their last nine games at Nationals Park following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Dodgers at Nationals Park following a win.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Monday games as road favorites.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games at Nationals Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Nationals will beat the Dodgers
- The Nationals have won each of their last three games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have lost three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in five of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last three games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Nationals’ last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last four games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction
The Dodgers won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three. The Dodgers are way below average when it comes to batting against southpaws; they have just a .188 BA against the lefties this year. Gore faced the Dodgers last year and posted a 1.50 ERA in 6.0 innings, and given how he opened this season, I think he can get to a quality start in this one. The Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 40 games. I am going with Under.