In this article, we will formulate a Nationals vs Mets Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, April 29th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Preview
The New York Mets have a 10-19 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the NL East. They have a 6-10 home record and are coming off an 8-0 home win against the Nationals. They lost their previous three games against the Rockies at home by scores of 0-3, 1-3, and 3-4.
The Mets have a .225 batting average this season, .289 OBP and .338 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette is the team’s best hitter with a .237 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 14. Francisco Alvarez adds a team‑high 4 home runs.
David Peterson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mets, and he has a 0-3 record, 5.06 ERA and 1.65 WHIP.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 13-17 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 10-7 away record and are coming off a 0-8 road loss against the Mets. Their previous three games were a 2-1 win, a 6-3 win and a 4-5 loss on the road against the White Sox.
The Nationals have a .239 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 5.21 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Daylen Lile is the team’s best hitter with a .269 batting average. CJ Abrams leads the team in RBI with 21, and James Wood adds a team‑high 10 home runs.
Cade Cavalli (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 0-1 record, 4.01 ERA and 1.66 WHIP.
Washington Nationals @ New York Mets Betting Trends: April 29, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: David Peterson Record this season: 0-3 ERA: 5.06
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Nationals: 4-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last seven night games at Citi Field following a loss.
- The Mets have won each of their last six night games against the Nationals at Citi Field following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Nationals at Citi Field following a home win.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games against the Mets following a road loss.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last five night games.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games at Citi Field against NL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Cavalli Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 4.01
- Road Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-0
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last 11 road games following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Nationals’ last five night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last six games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last six night games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 20 appearances against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in seven of the Nationals’ last 21 games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals’ last 11 road games against NL opponents.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (13) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.338).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.289).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (50).
- The Nationals rank 29th in the league for ERA this season (5.21).
Nationals vs Mets Prediction
The Nationals are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Mets but the Mets are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in New York.
In this Nationals vs Mets Prediction, the Mets are coming as -165 home favorites. The Mets have been horrible this season but they bounced back yesterday and destroyed the Nationals in the opening game of this series. But I don’t trust Peterson on the mound, as he has 14 earned runs across his last three starts, while Cavalli has been shaky and winless for the Nationals, who have the 4th-best offense in baseball and the 24th bullpen ERA. I cannot back either team for this price, so give me the over 7.5 in this one.