In this article we will formulate a Nationals vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 16th at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 22-23 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 last night. Washington led for most of the game, but they nearly blew the lead in the ninth. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Lile, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Littell allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Lovelady got the save. Prior to this series, Washington won two out of three against the Reds, but lost two out of three against the Marlins before that.
This season, Washington has a 4.95 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 239 runs with a .241 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with nine home runs and 36 RBIs, while James Wood has added 12 home runs and 29 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 1-2 with a 4.02 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP over 40.1 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 20-25 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-2 on Friday night. Baltimore struggled at the plate, but they scored two runs in the ninth and nearly tied the game before losing. The Orioles recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Henderson, who went 2-5 with one RBI. Baz allowed six hits and three earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Walker pitched the eighth. Prior to this series, Baltimore won two out of three against the Yankees, but lost two out of three against the Athletics before that.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.58 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 195 runs with a .230 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Jeremiah Jackson has led the Orioles with six home runs and 25 RBIs, while Pete Alonso has added eight home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Chris Bassitt, who is 3-2 with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 38.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last six day games against the Orioles following a win.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last seven Saturday day games.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Saturday day games.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against the Orioles.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games at Nationals Park.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last seven games between the Orioles and Nationals.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Orioles and Nationals.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven day games at Nationals Park against AL East opponents.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six day games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Orioles and Nationals at Nationals Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Cade Cavalli’s last six home appearances as a starter.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Keibert Ruiz has hit a home run in three of his last eight appearances with the Nationals as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Luis Garcia has recorded two or more hits in each of his last three appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks T1st in the league in Steals (18) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Nationals.
- Chris Bassitt has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Taylor Ward ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.425) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (84).
- The Nationals rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (64).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.259).
- The Orioles rank 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (414).
Nationals vs Orioles Prediction
Washington comes into this matchup after winning three of their last four games and they are looking to get back to .500 with a win here. The Nationals are 7-13 at home this year, while the Orioles are 8-13 on the road. Baltimore has won three of their last five games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The O’s are starting Bassitt, who has allowed 1, 4, 1, and 5 earned runs in his last four outings, while Cavalli has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I don’t love either pitcher, but Cavalli has been more consistent. Take the Nationals here.