The Boston Red Sox and the Washington Nationals meet Saturday in MLB action from Petco Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Nationals vs Red Sox Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Boston Red Sox will send out Walker Buehler for the start here, and Buehler is 5-6 with a 6.45 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. In his career, Buehler is 2-1 with a 2.22 ERA and 20 strikeouts against the Nationals. Mitchell Parker will get the start for the Nationals and is 5-8 with a 4.63 ERA and 62 strikeouts this season. This will be Parker’s first career start against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Recap
The Boston Red Sox come into this game looking to add on to their 11-2 win over the Nationals to start the series on Friday to improve to 44-45 on the year. After this series, the Red Sox will head home for a series against the Colorado Rockies.
Red Sox Win 4 Of Their Last 6
Alex Bregman has 59 hits, including 17 doubles along with 11 home runs, and 35 RBIs this season. Trevor Story added 83 hits with 13 home runs, 51 RBIs, and 14 stolen bases, while Jarren Duran has 94 hits with 22 doubles, 9 triples, 6 home runs, 42 RBIs, and a team-high 15 stolen bases. Kristian Campbell added 51 hits with 10 doubles, 6 homers, and 21 RBIs while Wilyer Abreu has 17 home runs with 49 RBIs and 5 stolen bases, and Ceddanne Rafaela has 9 homers, 18 doubles, 2 triples, 34 RBIs, and 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Nationals have lost eight of their last nine games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Nationals.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line each of their last 11 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the run line in 17 of the Nationals’ last 21 games.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Walker Buehler has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Ceddanne Rafaela has recorded at least one Double in four of the Red Sox’s last five games against NL opponents.
- Triston Casas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Walker Buehler has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against the Nationals.
- Triston Casas has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Washington Nationals Recap
The Washington Nationals come into this game looking to rebound from their loss at the hands of the Red Sox on Friday to sit at 37-51 on the year. After this series, the Nationals will head on the road for a series against the St. Louis Cardinals.
Nationals Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
Keibert Ruiz has 62 hits with 12 doubles and a pair of home runs with 24 RBIs, while James Wood has 96 hits with 19 doubles and a team-high 23 home runs, along with 67 RBIs and 12 stolen bases while also putting up 103 strikeouts. Nathaniel Lowe has 77 hits with 14 doubles and 58 RBIs, along with 13 home runs and 100 strikeouts. CJ Abrams has 12 home runs and 31 RBIs along with 18 doubles and 19 stolen bases, while Luis Garcia Jr. has 19 doubles and 8 stolen bases of his own this season. Dylan Crews has also logged 11 stolen bases this season.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last five home games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last five road games after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five day games against NL East opponents following a win.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Jacob Young has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Paul DeJong has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a losing record.
- Josh Bell has recorded a Double in three of his four previous appearances with his team as a favorite against the Red Sox.
- James Wood ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.395) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Nationals’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Nationals vs Red Sox Prediction
I’m on the over here. I don’t trust either of these pitchers right now, as Buehler is a shell of the pitcher he was a few years ago, and Mitchell Parker has been batting practice in his own right now season. Furthermore, I think this is going to be a game that sees some runs early and often, and I think we have fireworks here. Give me the over.