New York Mets vs Miami Marlins MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 9/2/21

The Miami Marlins and New York Mets meet Thursday in MLB action at Citi Field. The Marlins look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Mets look for a win after splitting their last eight games.

The Miami Marlins have scored nine runs in their last three games and three or less runs in five of their last eight games. The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games when scoring three or less runs. Jesus Aguilar leads the Marlins with 115 hits and 92 RBI while Miguel Rojas and Jazz Chisholm Jr. have combined for 199 hits and 79 RBI. Zach Thompson gets the ball, and he is 2-6 with a 3.16 ERA and 52 strikeouts this season. This will be Thompson’s second career game against the Mets.

The New York Mets have scored 17 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in six of their last nine games. The Mets have lost nine of their last 10 games when scoring three or less runs. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with 116 hits and 76 RBI while Dominic Smith and Jonathan Villar have combined for 191 hits and 89 RBI. Carlos Carrasco gets the ball, and he is 0-2 with a 6.94 ERA and 23 strikeouts this season. Carrasco is 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 20 strikeouts in his career against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 23-49 in their last 72 Thursday games and 14-39 in their last 53 road games. The Mets are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win and 5-12 in their last 17 overall. The under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall. The under is 10-2-1 in Mets last 13 overall. The Marlins are 7-19 in the last 26 meetings in New York.

The Mets should be favored and should win this game, but I’m looking at the over in this spot. Thompson has been respectable this season, but he’s given up five earned runs in his last 10 innings. Carrasco has allowed 23 hits and 17 runs in his last 19.1 innings. We should see some fireworks in this contest. The total seems a little short. Give me the over.