The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet in an AL East division matchup in MLB action from Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.
Odds
The Yankees are listed as a -170 home favorite while Baltimore is a +145 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.
Starting Pitching Matchup
Kyle Bradish will start for Baltimore here and is 2-1 with a 3.90 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. New York will send Gerrit Cole to the mound here and is 5-0 with a 2.01 ERA and 68 strikeouts this season.
Matchup History
New York’s 5-3 win over Baltimore on April 9th, 2023, made it back-to-back wins for the Yankees in this head-to-head matchup.
Trends
Baltimore is 12-4 in their last 16 road games and 6-2 in their last 8 games following a win while the under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games against a team with a winning record. New York is 5-2 in their last 7 division games and 72-34 in their last 106 home games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 series-opening games.
Pick
I’m backing the Yankees here. I keep trying to talk myself into taking a shot with the Orioles and the value, and while the O’s are playing solid ball, it’s just hard to buy into Kyle Bradish in this start. If it was another Yankee pitcher like Cortes or Schmidt, maybe, but with Gerrit Cole pitching so well, especially at home with an ERA just over one, I have to roll with New York in this one.
