The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Saturday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Martin Perez for the start here and Perez is 4-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. The New York Mets did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to bounce back from a 7-5 loss at the hands of the Mets on Friday to sit at 45-24 this season. After this series, the Braves will head home for a series against the San Francisco Giants.
Braves Lose 3 In A Row
Entering Friday, Drake Baldwin has 57 hits with 6 doubles, 13 home runs and 38 RBIs while Matt Olson has 72 hits with 19 doubles, 19 homers and 50 RBIs. Ozzie Albies has added 73 hits with 13 doubles, 10 home runs and 36 RBIs and Ronald Acuna Jr. has 49 hits with 10 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 22 RBIs. Austin Riley has 51 hits with 10 doubles, 8 home runs and 34 RBIs and Michael Harris II has 71 hits with 9 doubles, 13 home runs and 40 RBIs and Mauricio Dubon has 61 hits with 13 doubles, 2 triples, 6 home runs and 37 RBIs this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their win over Atlanta from Friday to improve to 31-38 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Cincinnati Reds.
Mets Win Back-To-Back Games
Going into Friday, Juan Soto has 52 hits with 5 doubles, 14 home runs and 31 RBIs. Brett Baty has 47 hits with 9 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 25 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 54 hits with 8 doubles, 8 home runs and 25 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 62 hits with 8 doubles, 6 home runs and 34 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 30 hits with 5 doubles and 5 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 61 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs and Mark Vientos had added 41 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs.
Atlanta Braves @ New York Mets Betting Trends: June 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 5.02
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Braves: 0-1
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last 12 home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have lost each of their last four road games.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in eight of their last 10 road games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against the Braves.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Martin Perez Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 3.02
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 2-0
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost 18 of their last 27 games as favorites against the Braves following a home win.
- The Braves have won 16 of their last 24 games as underdogs against the Mets following a road loss.
- The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Saturday games as road underdogs.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Braves at Citi Field following a win.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Mets at Citi Field.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Braves’ last nine road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mets’ last six home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six day games between the Braves and Mets.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Braves’ last 10 road games against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Bo Bichette has hit at least one home run in each of the Mets’ last two games.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 13 home games against NL East opponents.
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Sean Manaea has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances at Citi Field against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto ranks 8th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.555) this season.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Mauricio Dubon has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 17 appearances with his team as an underdog against NL East opponents.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit at least one home run in four of his last five road appearances.
- Matt Olson ranks T4th in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (87).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.370).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.27).
- The Braves rank 2nd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.219).
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m backing Atlanta here. The Braves are still one of the better lineups in baseball and the Mets, while needing this series to make up crucial ground in the NL East race, are still fairly inconsistent and can be a hard team to trust game-to-game. I also don’t love this Mets’ lineup against lefties, so give me Atlanta in this one in a bounce back.