The Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets meet Wednesday in MLB action from American Family Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s an Mets vs Braves Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Atlanta Braves will send out Carlos Carrasco for the start here and Carrasco is 2-2 with a 6.18 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. This will be Carrasco’s first career start against the Mets. David Peterson will get the nod for the Mets here and is 7-5 with a 2.98 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Braves, Peterson is 1-2 with a 5.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts.
Atlanta Braves Recap
The Atlanta Braves come into this game looking to rebound from a 13-5 loss at the hands of the Mets last time out to sit at 51-68 this season. After this series, the Braves will head on the road for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.
Braves Have Three-Game Win Streak Snapped
Austin Riley has 108 hits including 16 home runs, 54 RBIs and 20 doubles but also has the dubious distinction of leading Atlanta with 128 strikeouts so far this season. Ozzie Albies has 101 hits with 9 home runs and 44 RBIs in addition to 11 stolen bases and Matt Olson has 120 hits with 30 doubles, 19 home runs and 71 RBIs of his own. Marcell Ozuna also has 87 hits with 19 home runs and 56 RBIs. Michael Harris II also has 108 hits with 19 doubles, 6 triples, 12 home runs and 55 RBIs and 13 stolen bases as well and Nick Allen has 8 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last four games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won four of the Mets’ last five games at Citi Field.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four home games after playing the previous day.
- The Braves have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Matt Olson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 16 games against the Mets.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their blowout win over Atlanta last time out to sit at 64-55 this season. After this series, the Mets will take on the Seattle Mariners in a series at home.
Mets Snap Seven-Game Losing Streak
Pete Alonso has 119 hits with 30 doubles, 28 home runs, 96 RBIs and a .267 batting average while Juan Soto has 105 hits with 16 doubles, 28 home runs and 67 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 115 hits with 18 stolen bases along with 22 doubles, 21 home runs and 64 RBIs while Mark Vientos has 7 home runs and 32 RBIs, but also has 73 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 108 hits with 21 doubles and 20 home runs and 66 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 10 doubles and Luisangel Acuna has 12 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The favorites have won each of the last nine games between the Braves and Mets.
- The Braves have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Pete Alonso has recorded a Double in four of the Mets’ last five games as favorites against the Braves.
- Pete Alonso ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (28) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Braves’ last 12 night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Mets’ last six games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
I’m backing the Mets here. I just think we’ve hit gut check time for New York here, as you have to take advantage of winnable games like these with a team like Atlanta on the ropes. The Braves just have not been able to put it all together consistently, and I don’t think that they will all of a sudden here either. The Mets NEED these games, so give me New York in this one.