The Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Cincinnati Reds will start Andrew Abbott here, and Abbott is 8-1 with a 2.07 ERA and 83 strikeouts this season. In his career, Abbott is 0-1 with a 4.15 ERA and 9 strikeouts against the Mets. David Peterson will get the start for the Mets here and is 6-4 with a 3.06 ERA and 93 strikeouts this season. In his career, Peterson is 0-1 with a 6.39 ERA and 21 strikeouts against the Reds.
Cincinnati Reds Recap
The Cincinnati Reds come into this game looking to add on to their 5-2 win over the Mets on Saturday to improve to 52-47 on the year. After this series, the Reds will head on the road for a series against the Washington Nationals.
Reds Win Four In A Row
Elly De La Cruz has 106 hits with 18 home runs, 64 RBIs, 18 doubles, and 25 stolen bases, while TJ Friedl has 97 hits with 15 doubles, 9 home runs, and 33 RBIs with 10 stolen bases. Gavin Lux has added 72 hits with 17 doubles and 37 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has 11 home runs and 39 RBIs, and Matt McLain has added 11 homers, 34 RBIs, and 13 stolen bases as well on the year. Jose Trevino’s also chipped in 17 doubles this season.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Mets’ last eight games at Citi Field.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Will Benson has recorded at least one hit in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
- Austin Hays has hit at least one home run in two of the Reds’ last three games as underdogs.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T7th in the league in Steals (25) this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of the Reds on Saturday to drop to 55-44 this season. After this series, the Mets will take on the Los Angeles Angels at home.
Mets Lose Three Straight
Pete Alonso has 101 hits with 26 doubles, 21 home runs, 77 RBIs, and a .277 batting average, while Juan Soto has 90 hits with 15 doubles, 24 home runs, and 57 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 99 hits with 15 stolen bases along with 18 doubles, 19 home runs, and 54 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs and 24 RBIs, but also has 64 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 92 hits with 18 doubles and 18 home runs, and 53 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 10 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won six of their last seven games against NL Central opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have lost six of their last seven day games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against the Mets following a win.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as favorites.
- Starling Marte has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 home appearances against the Reds.
- Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last six day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Mets’ last five home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m backing the Reds here. For me, Andrew Abbott is one of the more underappreciated lefties in not just the NL but in all of baseball, and I’d make a strong case that he’s the better option in this game. David Peterson’s been solid, but the Reds just keep finding ways to win with Abbott on the bump, so I think all of the value is squarely on the Reds here. Give me Cincinnati in this one.