The Houston Astros and the New York Mets meet Friday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Houston Astros vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Houston Astros will send out Hunter Brown for the start here and Brown is 3-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 76 strikeouts this season. Christian Scott will start for the Mets and is 4-3 with a 3.73 ERA and 111 strikeouts this season.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to build on their 5-1 win over the Yankees from Thursday’s matchup to sit at 67-67 this season. After this series, Houston will head home for a series against the Chicago White Sox.
Astros Alternate Wins & Losses In 4 Straight
Yordan Alvarez has 152 hits with 28 doubles, 36 home runs and 91 RBIs while Christian Walker has 111 hits with 25 doubles, 24 home runs and 75 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 102 hits with 17 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 121 hits with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 73 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 91 hits with 15 doubles, 17 home runs and 48 RBIs.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to shake off an 8-2 loss at the hands of the Milwaukee Brewers last time out to sit at 60-74 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a game against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Mets Lose Back-To-Back Games
Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 80 hits with 16 doubles, a triple, 8 home runs and 40 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 86 hits with 10 doubles, 14 home runs and 43 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 138 hits with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 66 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 71 hits with 11 doubles and 13 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 135 hits with 17 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 53 RBIs.
Houston Astros @ New York Mets Betting Trends: August 28, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott Record this season: 4-3 ERA: 3.73
- Home Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Astros: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Astros have lost six of their last seven games as favorites following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against AL opponents.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road favorites against NL opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Hunter Brown Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 3.51
- Road Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-2
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have lost each of their last six Friday night home games against AL opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
- The Astros have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 11 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last five night games against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Astros’ last five games as favorites against the Mets have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the last five games between the Astros and Mets.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of Hunter Brown’s last seven appearances as a starter.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against AL West opponents.
- Luis Torrens has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jeremy Pena has hit a home run in each of the Astros’ last three games against NL East opponents.
- Hunter Brown has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
- Hunter Brown has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.319) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (167).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.306).
- The Astros rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (552).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (40).
Houston Astros vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m on the Astros in this one. I just think that the Astros are the better team by a fair margin in this matchup and with their ace on the mound in Hunter Brown, I think that translates to a big win in regards to Houston in the AL West race. The Mets are just playing out the string right now, and Christian Scott has been giving up a decent amount of damage as of late. I’ll back Houston to pick up the win here.