The Miami Marlins and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Sandy Alcantara for the start here and Alcantara is 11-6 with a 3.82 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. Robert Stock will start for the Mets here and Stock is making his 2026 debut here.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to add on to their 6-2 win over the New York Mets last time out to sit at 57-55 this season. After this series, the Marlins will head on the road for a series against the Atlanta Braves.
Marlins Win 5 Of Last 6
Xavier Edwards has 118 hits with 14 doubles, 6 triples, 6 home runs and 40 RBIs while Otto Lopez has 139 hits with 28 doubles, 7 triples, 9 homers and 51 RBIs and Liam Hicks has added 99 hits with 9 doubles, 14 home runs and 62 RBIs. Connor Norby has 41 hits with 12 doubles, 4 home runs and 16 RBIs and Owen Caissie has 52 hits with 12 doubles, 12 homers and 50 RBIs. Jakob Marsee also has 71 hits with 13 doubles, 3 triples, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs this season. Kyle Stowers has also chipped in 77 hits with 20 doubles, 3 triples, 16 home runs and 48 RBIs.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss at the hands of Miami on Saturday to sit at After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Cleveland Guardians.
Mets Drop Back-To-Back Games
Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 70 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 70 hits with 8 doubles, 12 home runs and 35 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 113 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 53 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 61 hits with 8 doubles and 12 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 107 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.
Miami Marlins @ New York Mets Betting Trends: August 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Robert Stock Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a home loss.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 road games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 11-6 ERA: 3.82
- Road Record: 6-3
- Last 5 against Mets: 3-0
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won each of their last eight games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost each of their last 11 Sunday day games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 13 day games following a win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven day games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four road day games.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Mets’ last nine games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last five road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as favorites.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in six of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 22 appearances against the Marlins.
- Tyrone Taylor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last five day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Joe Mack has hit a home run in three of the Marlins’ last four games as road favorites.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (139) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (136).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).
- The Marlins rank T1st in the league for triples this season (25).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (122).
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Prediction
I’m on the Marlins in this one. I think that the Marlins have a significant edge in starting pitching in this one, and the Mets are showing their cards that this team is packing up shop and preparing for 2027. I think Miami has a strong outing from Sandy and does enough to stay hot and end the series with a win.