The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Friday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. The New York Yankees will send out Will Warren here and Warren is 3-0 with a 2.59 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Orioles, Warren is 1-2 with a 4.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to bounce back from their 11-5 loss at the hands of the Houston Astros last time out to sit at 15-16 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Orioles Fail To Complete Sweep
Taylor Ward has 35 hits with 13 doubles and 11 RBIs while Gunnar Henderson has 28 hits with 6 doubles, 9 home runs and 19 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 23 hits with 7 doubles, 4 home runs and 13 RBIs. Adley Rutschman has 21 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 27 hits with 2 doubles, 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Dylan Beavers also has 18 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to bounce back from their 3-0 loss at the hands of Texas last time out to sit at 20-11 this season. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Texas Rangers in a series at home.
Yankees Looking To Stay Hot
Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 32 hits with 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 23 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 28 hits with 5 doubles, 12 home runs and 20 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 26 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 3 home runs and 15 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 22 hits with 5 doubles as well on the year.
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 1, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Will Warren Record this season: 3-0 ERA: 2.59
- Home Record: 2-0
- Last 5 against Orioles: 1-2
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last nine night games against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last eight road games following a home loss.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games against the Orioles following a road loss.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cade Povich Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 2.19
- Road Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Yankees: 0-2
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won 12 of their last 13 night games against the Yankees following a loss.
- The Yankees have lost eight of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five night games at Yankee Stadium following a loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line each of their last three games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Ten of the last 11 games between the Orioles and Yankees have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Judge has hit a home run in three of the Yankees’ last four games.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous home appearances against the Orioles after not playing the previous day.
- Aaron Judge ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (12) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Gunnar Henderson has hit a home run in three of the Orioles’ last four games against AL East opponents.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
- Taylor Ward ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.438) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (48).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.11).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.265).
- The Orioles rank T27th in the league for hits allowed this season (286).
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction
I’m backing the Yankees in this one. As much as I don’t love Will Warren in this Yankee rotation, he’s still a solid option and I’m tired of waiting for the Orioles to get their act together and play like the Orioles I expected to see bounce back this season. The Yankees are rolling right now, and I think New York takes care of business for the win in this one. Give me the Yankees.