The Baltimore Orioles and the New York Yankees meet Sunday in MLB action from Yankee Stadium. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Baltimore Orioles will send out Trey Gibson for his Major League debut here. Max Fried will start for the Yankees in this one and is 4-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 37 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against Baltimore, Fried is 2-2 with a 3.27 ERA and 34 strikeouts.
Baltimore Orioles Recap
The Baltimore Orioles come into this game looking to rebound from their 9-4 loss at the hands of the Yankees in Saturday’s matchup to sit at 15-18 this season. After this series, the Orioles will head on the road for a series against the Miami Marlins.
Orioles Lose 3 In A Row
Taylor Ward has 36 hits with 13 doubles and 12 RBIs while Gunnar Henderson has 29 hits with 6 doubles, 9 home runs and 19 RBIs and Pete Alonso has 25 hits with 7 doubles, 6 home runs and 15 RBIs. Adley Rutschman has 21 hits with 6 doubles, 4 home runs and 17 RBIs. Jeremiah Jackson has 27 hits with 3 doubles, 6 home runs and 24 RBIs while Dylan Beavers also has 18 hits with 3 doubles, 2 home runs and 9 RBIs.
New York Yankees Recap
The New York Yankees come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Orioles from Saturday to improve to 22-11 this season. After this series, the Yankees will take on the Texas Rangers in a series at home.
Yankees Win 8 Of Last 11
Giancarlo Stanton has 23 hits with 6 doubles, 3 home runs and 14 RBIs while Ben Rice has 35 hits with 8 doubles, 11 home runs and 25 RBIs and Aaron Judge has 30 hits with 5 doubles, 12 home runs and 21 RBIs. Cody Bellinger also has 32 hits with 7 doubles, a triple, 5 home runs and 20 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. also has 24 hits with 5 doubles, 3 home runs and 11 RBIs as well on the year.
Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: May 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Max Fried Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 2.09
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Orioles: 2-2
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Orioles have lost each of their last eight road games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have won each of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in five of their last six home games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Yankees have lost four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in 16 of their last 20 games as underdogs against AL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Yankees’ last four day games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Orioles’ last nine day games at Yankee Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Max Fried has recorded a win in eight of his 10 previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Ben Rice ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.717) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in each of the Orioles’ last three road games.
- Tyler O’Neill has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances after playing the previous day.
- Taylor Ward ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.428) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (53).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.01).
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.269).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for hits allowed this season (308).
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees Prediction
I’m on the Yankees in this one. I get the case that can be made for Baltimore, but Gibson wasn’t great in AAA this season and this is a heck of a spot to have to make your first start against a Yankees team that’s rolling offensively and the Orioles still have yet to find their groove offensively this season. I think this is just a runaway spot for the Yankees so give me New York here.