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NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 5-3-24 Picks

Detroit Tigers (18-13) vs. NY Yankees (20-13)
May 3, 2024 7:05 pm EDT
The Line: NY Yankees -165 / Detroit Tigers +140; Over/Under: +8.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 3rd at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in this series. 

Yankees Trying to Bounce Back

The New York Yankees are 20-13 this year and they have lost five of their last eight games. New York is coming off of a series loss to the Orioles, where they lost three out of four games. Prior to that series, the Yankees won two out of three against Milwaukee and split a four game series with Oakland. New York was leading the AL East, but they have struggled a little bit recently and they are now one game behind Baltimore, with Boston only a couple of games behind them. 

The New York pitching staff has a 3.07 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .218 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 154 runs with a .244 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .331 with eight home runs and 25 RBI’s for the Yankees this year. New York has one of the best team ERA’s in the MLB, but their offense has been inconsistent in their last eight games. 

Tigers are Charging 

The Detroit Tigers are 18-13 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Detroit is coming off of a series win against the Cardinals, where they won two out of three. Prior to that series, the Tigers won two out of three games against the Royals and Rays. Detroit started the season hitting the ball very poorly, but they have started to turn the corner over the last week or so. Detroit is third in the AL Central, just a couple of games behind Cleveland and Kansas City. 

The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.12 ERA, a 1.10 WHIP, and a .214 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 127 runs with a .227 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Mark Canha is batting .267 with five home runs and 16 RBI’s for the Tigers this year. Detroit is fourth in the MLB in team ERA, but they are just 19th in runs scored. Like I mentioned earlier, the Tigers offense is starting to turn around, as they have scored at least four runs in eight of their last ten games. 

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for New York is Marcus Stroman, who is 2-1 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over 31.2 innings pitched this year. Stroman has allowed 13 earned runs and 23 hits over his last four starts (19.2 IP). The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Reese Olson, who is 0-4 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 28.1 innings pitched this year. Olson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his five starts this year, but he has not had much run support. 

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have won each of their last 10 night games against the Tigers following a road loss.
  • The Yankees have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against the Tigers following a loss.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Yankees following a home win.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three games at Yankee Stadium.

NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this series playing very well in recent games and their offense is starting to heat up. The Detroit pitching staff has been excellent to start the year and even though Olson is 0-4 on the season, he has been very sharp. New York has been even better than Detroit to start the season, but they have struggled in their last eight games. Both of these teams have great team ERA’s and I think we are in for a lower scoring game in this matchup. My NY Yankees vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for this game to go under the total. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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