In this article we will formulate a NY Yankees vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, July 23rd at Yankee Stadium in New York. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Yankees Continue to Have Struggles
The New York Yankees are 60-42 this year and they have lost three of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series split with Tampa Bay, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Yankees won two out of three against the Orioles, lost two out of three against the Rays, and lost two out of three against the Red Sox. New York is 6-10 in their last 16 games and they are second in the AL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .225 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 508 runs with a .248 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .311 with 25 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Yankees this season. New York has allowed at least five runs in five of their last ten games.
Mets are Trying to Catch the Braves
The New York Mets are 51-48 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series split with Miami, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Mets won two out of three against the Rockies, swept the Nationals in three games, and split four games with the Pirates. New York is 7-3 in their last ten games and they are third in the NL East, three games behind Atlanta.
The New York pitching staff has a 4.21 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 478 runs with a .250 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .241 with 19 home runs and 51 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has allowed at least four runs in four of their last five games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for the Yankees is Luis Gil, who is 10-5 with a 3.17 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this year. Gil has allowed one earned run in each of his last two starts, but did allow 16 earned runs in the three games prior to that. The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Jose Quintana, who is 4-6 with a 4.13 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this season. Quintana has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts, but did allow five earned runs against Colorado in his last start.
Why the Yankees will win beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The home team has won nine of the last 11 games between the Mets and Yankees.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 road games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The favorites have covered the run line in four of the Mets’ last five games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Mets will beat the Yankees
- The Yankees have lost each of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
- The Mets have won each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Yankees’ last eight night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last 13 road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Yankees’ last five night games at Yankee Stadium.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Aaron Judge has hit at least one home run in each of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Mets.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Aaron Judge has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Yankees as favorites against the Mets.
- Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances.
- Aaron Judge has scored a run in eight of his nine previous home appearances against the Mets.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one Double in each of the Mets’ last four night games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last 11 road games against AL opponents.
- J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets’ last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded a Single in each of the Mets’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in eight of the Mets’ last nine games as underdogs.
- Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mets’ last 11 road games against AL opponents.
- Jose Quintana has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances.
- Brandon Nimmo has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last five games as road underdogs.
Matchup/League Facts
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (508).
- The New York Yankees rank 1st in the league for RBI’s this season (488).
- The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (379).
- The New York Mets rank 5th in the league for home runs this season (126).
NY Yankees vs NY Mets Prediction
The Yankees were able to earn the series split with Tampa Bay by winning on Monday afternoon, while the Mets also earned a split with the Marlins on Monday night. The Yankees are 27-21 at home this year, while the Mets are 25-22 on the road. The Mets have been pretty solid over the last few weeks and they swept the mini series against the Yankees at home a few weeks back. The Mets are going with Jose Quintana, who didn’t pitch well against Colorado last time out, but he has been pretty good recently. The Yankees are starting Luis Gil, who is trying to recapture his early season magic. These two teams combined for 14 and 16 runs in their last first mini series and I think we are going to see plenty of runs here. My NY Yankees vs NY Mets prediction is for this game to go over the total.